Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries
Transkript
Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries
Standing Committee for Economic and Commercial Cooperation of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (COMCEC) FINANCIAL OUTLOOK OF THE OIC MEMBER COUNTRIES 2014 COMCEC COORDINATION OFFICE September 2014 Standing Committee for Economic and Commercial Cooperation of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (COMCEC) FINANCIAL OUTLOOK OF THE OIC MEMBER COUNTRIES 2014 COMCEC COORDINATION OFFICE September 2014 For further information please contact: COMCEC Coordination Office Necatibey Caddesi No: 110/A 06100 Yücetepe Ankara/TURKEY Phone: 90 312 294 57 10 Fax: 90 312 294 57 77 Web: www.comcec.org PREFACE The Standing Committee for Economic and Commercial Cooperation of the Organization of the Islamic Cooperation (COMCEC) Financial Outlook is a contribution of the COMCEC Coordination Office to enrich the discussions during the Finance Working Group Meetings being held twice a year. Finance Working Group is established as part of the implementation of the COMCEC Strategy. For developing a common language/understanding, and approximating policies in financial cooperation to address and find solutions to the financial challenges of the Islamic Ummah, the COMCEC Strategy envisages Financial Cooperation Working Group as one of the implementation instruments of the Strategy. In this respect, Finance Working Group Meetings aim to provide a regular platform for the member countries’ experts to elaborate thoroughly financial cooperation issues and share their best practices and experiences. COMCEC Financial Outlook 2014 is prepared by Mr. Ali ISLER, Mr. Fırat YILMAZ, Mr. Okan POLAT, and Mr. UTKU ŞEN, with the objective of presenting a general outlook of the financial system of the OIC Member States, highlighting the potential areas for cooperation in this sector and as well as evaluating the recent developments in the global financial structure. The views expressed and conclusions reached in this publication do not necessarily reflect the official views of the COMCEC Coordination Office, COMCEC or the governments of the member countries. i CONTENTS PREFACE ...................................................................................................................................................................... i CONTENTS................................................................................................................................................................. ii TABLES ...................................................................................................................................................................... iii ABBREVIATIONS .................................................................................................................................................... iv INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................................................1 1. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM ...................................................3 2. FINANCIAL OUTLOOK OF OIC MEMBER COUNTRIES ........................................................................6 2.1 FINANCIAL DEPTH ........................................................................................................................................9 2.2 FINANCIAL ACCESS ..................................................................................................................................... 12 2.3 FINANCIAL EFFICIENCY ............................................................................................................................ 16 2.4 FINANCIAL STABILITY ............................................................................................................................. 19 3. FINANCIAL COOPERATION UNDER THE COMCEC ........................................................................... 23 3.1 THE COMCEC STRATEGY: FINANCIAL COOPERATION ................................................................... 23 3.1.1 REGULATORY AND SUPERVISIORY COOPERATION ..................................................................... 23 3.1.2 CAPITAL FLOWS......................................................................................................................................... 24 3.1.3 VISIBILITY OF FINANCIAL MARKETS ................................................................................................ 24 3.1.4 TRAINING, R&D ACTIVITIES AND STATISTICS ............................................................................... 27 3.2 IMPLEMENTATION OF THE STRATEGY .............................................................................................. 28 3.2.1 COMCEC FINANCIAL COOPERATION WORKING GROUP ............................................................ 28 3.2.2 PROJECT CYCLE MANAGEMENT (PCM) ............................................................................................ 29 3.3 ON-GOING ACTIVITIES UNDER THE COMCEC ................................................................................... 29 3.3.1 OIC MEMBER STATES STOCK EXCHANGES FORUM ..................................................................... 29 3.3.2 COMCEC CAPITAL MARKETS REGULATORS FORUM.................................................................... 30 3.3.3 COOPERATION AMONG THE CENTRAL BANKS AND MONETARY AUTHORITIES ............. 30 COUNCLISION ......................................................................................................................................................... 31 APPENDIX ............................................................................................................................................................... 33 DEFINITIONS OF SELECTED FINANCIAL BENCHMARKING DATA ....................................................... 43 REFERENCES .......................................................................................................................................................... 46 ii FIGURES Figure 1: Comparison of the Real GDP Growth Rates of Selected Country Groupings ............................... 4 Figure 2: Private Credit by Deposit Money Banks and Other Financial Institutions to GDP Ratios ... 10 Figure 3: Bank Deposits to GDP Ratios .......................................................................................................................... 10 Figure 4: Stock Market Capitalization to GDP Ratios ............................................................................................... 11 Figure 5: Stock Market Total Value Traded to GDP Ratios .................................................................................... 12 Figure 6: Bank Accounts per 1, 000 adults in OIC Member States ..................................................................... 13 Figure 7: Bank Branches per 100,000 Adults in OIC Member States ............................................................... 14 Figure 8: Adults with an Account at a Formal Financial Institution to Total Adults ................................. 15 Figure 9: Adults Saving at a Financial Institution in the Past Year to Total Adults .................................... 15 Figure 10: 5 Bank Asset Concentration Ratios in OIC Member States ............................................................. 16 Figure 11: Net Interest Margin in OIC Member States ............................................................................................ 17 Figure 12: Lending Deposit Spread in OIC Member States ................................................................................... 18 Figure 13: Non-Interest Income to Total Income Rates in OIC Member States ........................................... 18 Figure 14: Z-Scores in OIC Member States ................................................................................................................... 20 Figure 15: Non-Performing Loans in OIC Member States ..................................................................................... 21 Figure 16: Volatility of Stock Prices in OIC Member States .................................................................................. 22 Figure 17: Trends in Global Islamic Finance Assets (billion USD) ..................................................................... 25 Figure 18: Growth Rate of Global Islamic Finance Assets ..................................................................................... 25 Figure 19: Global Islamic Financial Assets: Geographical Breakdown, 2012 (US$ billions) ................ 26 TABLES Table 1: Categorization of OIC Member States .............................................................................................................. 7 Table 2: Selected Financial Data on OIC Member States ........................................................................................... 8 Table 3: Selected Financial Data on LIG-OIC Member States (2009) ............................................................... 33 Table 4: Selected Financial Data on LMIG-OIC Member States (2009) ........................................................... 34 Table 5: Selected Financial Data on UMIG-OIC Member States (2009) ........................................................... 35 Table 6: Selected Financial Data on HIG-OIC Member States (2009) ............................................................... 36 Table 7: Selected Financial Data on LIG-OIC Member States (2010) ............................................................... 37 Table 8: Selected Financial Data on LMIG-OIC Member States (2010) ........................................................... 38 Table 9: Selected Financial Data on UMIG-OIC Member States (2010) ........................................................... 39 Table 10: Selected Financial Data on HIG-OIC Member States (2010) ............................................................ 39 Table 11: Selected Financial Data on LIG-OIC Member States (2011) ............................................................. 40 Table 12: Selected Financial Data on LMIG-OIC Member States (2011) ......................................................... 41 Table 13: Selected Financial Data on UMIG-OIC Member States (2011) ........................................................ 42 Table 14: Selected Financial Data on HIG-OIC Member States (2011) ............................................................ 42 iii ABBREVIATIONS COMCEC Standing Committee for Economic and Commercial Cooperation of the Organization of the Islamic Cooperation GDP Gross Domestic Product IMF International Monetary Fund N.A Not–Available NIM Net Interest Margin NPL Non-Performing Loans: OIC-LIG OIC-Low Income Group OIC-LMIG OIC-Lower Middle Income Group OIC-UMIG OIC-Upper Middle Income Group OIC-HIGH OIC-High Income Group PCM Project Cycle Management OIC Organization of the Islamic Cooperation SESRIC Statistical, Economic and Social Research and Training Centre for Islamic Countries iv Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 INTRODUCTION A financial system can be defined at the global, regional or firm specific level. The financial system is critical to the functioning of all these levels as a whole. The firm's financial system is the set of implemented procedures that track the financial activities of the company. On a regional scale, the financial system is the system that enables lenders and borrowers as partners to exchange funds. The global financial system is basically a broader regional system that encompasses all financial institutions, borrowers and lenders within the global economy.1 As essential components of the system, banks, securities markets, pension and mutual funds, insurers, market infrastructure, central banks, as well as regulatory and supervisory authorities have a huge influence on financial system. These players have crucial roles in channeling savings to investments efficiently, thereby supporting economic growth and stability. Due to increasing connectivity among financial institutions, resilient financial systems that are well-regulated and well-supervised are essential for both domestic and international financial stability2. In this sense, financial cooperation among relevant sides plays a crucial role in removing the barriers on capital mobility, increasing financial literacy, managing financial risks, supervising financial institutions, increasing product diversity, broadening and deepening financial markets. As a broad regional international organization, The COMCEC is one of the four standing committees of the OIC which is responsible for enhancing economic and commercial cooperation among the Member States. Since the commencement of its activities in 1984, COMCEC has initiated many programs and projects towards improving financial cooperation among the OIC Member States. In addition, the COMCEC Strategy identified financial cooperation as one of the major cooperation areas of the COMCEC and envisaged the establishment of the Financial Cooperation Working Group as an important instrument for strengthening financial cooperation among member countries. Furthermore, cooperation among the Stock Exchanges, Capital Market Regulators and Central Banks and Monetary Authorities of the Member States are other crucial ongoing endeavours in the field of financial cooperation under the COMCEC. Highlighting the recent global financial developments, this Outlook mainly aims to present a general outlook of the financial system of the OIC Member States. This Outlook is comprised of three main sections: 1 2 http://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/financial-system.asp Financial Systems Soundness Indicators 2013, IMF 1 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 The First Section briefly describes recent financial developments and their impact on the global financial system for displaying the current comprehensive picture as possible as in this field. The Second Section gives a general overview of the financial system of the OIC Member States. It outlines financial depth, financial access, financial efficiency and financial stability in addition to the weaknesses and strengths of the OIC Member States according to selected financial benchmarking data. In this Outlook, the OIC Member States are classified according to their income levels. The Third Section underlines the cooperation efforts under the COMCEC Strategy and the ongoing activities under the COMCEC in this field. The Appendix Section gives the details of all figures of each OIC Member States analyzed in the second section. 2 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 1. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM The global economy has continued to cope with the consequences of the financial crisis and a new financial architecture has been built to achieve greater financial stability since the last global financial crisis. The United States may soon end the quantitative easing program and the World may move to a higher interest rate environment. Emerging markets have enjoyed favourable capital inflows during the recent global recovery, yet they are likely to face more volatile external conditions and higher risk premiums. Due to the changing financial and macroeconomic environment, several emerging market economies are required to increase their resilience. Under these circumstances, the financial sector growth is expected to be more balanced and sustainable. The Financial sector in the European Union has been recovering with the help of a stronger monetary union and a common framework for risk mitigation while reducing excessive debt levels. Another significant economy, namely Japan, has been implementing a new set of policy tools which includes aggressive monetary easing, supported with fiscal and structural reforms. Consequently, the global financial system has been adapting to more strict and sound regulations and undergoing a number of challenging transitions on the path to greater stability. These transitions have not been completed yet and stability conditions of the global financial system have not been functioning normally. A number of effective policies are necessary for a successful shift from liquidity-driven to growth-driven markets in advanced and emerging market economies. 3 Nonstop quantitative easing, buoyancy in United States economic market prospects and persistent low yields in line with low volatility were three key expectations that had driven asset prices to high levels until May 2013. However, before the end of 2013, the FED started tapering of asset purchase program in line with the improvements in the United States economy and planned to end quantitative easing program in 2015. Consequently, emerging markets encountered serious capital outflows for the first time since the beginning of the global crisis in 2008, accompanied with a sluggish growth due to tightened global financial conditions and structural bottlenecks in some economies. Market players have also been trying to figure out the threats and opportunities of Japan’s aggressive set of quantitative and qualitative monetary easing policies which resulted in greater volatility in previous months.4 In this adaptation process, there will be implications for all players in the financial sector. Ending, in particular, the quantitative easing program by the US will give rise to new problems, mainly the surge that is likely to occur in long-term interest rates. Nevertheless adapting to this new environment may be tough since portfolio managers will have to adjust their investment strategies in view of the new high interest rates and the more volatile environment. Squeeze of liquidity in global markets, deleveraging current positions in short term funding markets and decline in the shadow banking system including the mortgage system are likely to exacerbate the effects of interest rate increases, and these can be contagious across global markets. Emerging market economies will encounter financial stability challenges. Bond investors are now more responsive to the changing interest rate 3 IMF, Global Financial Stability Report 2013,2014 4 IMF, Global Financial Stability Report 2013, 2014 3 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 environment which is mainly a result of the recent monetary policies of advanced economies. In that sense, international coordination for policy reforms will be beneficial to avoid negative financial and economic impacts of those spillovers.5 Although unprecedented macroeconomic policy responses were implemented by advanced economies, uncertainties on the path to economic recovery still persist. The global economy still struggles to handle the financial market fluctuations and macroeconomic imbalances which increase vulnerabilities in global economic recovery and weaken employment expectations. Real GDP growth rate for emerging and developing economies dropped from 6.3 percent in 2011 to 5.1 percent in 2012 and 4.7 percent in 2013. It is expected to increase to 4.9 percent in 2014. Furthermore, real GDP growth rates for advanced economies dropped from 1.7 percent in 2011, to 1.4 percent in 2012 and 1.3 percent in 2013. It is expected to increase to 2.2 percent in 2014 due to the recovery policies of these countries. Similarly, world economic growth decelerated from 3.2 percent in 2012 to 3 percent in 2013. It is expected to increase to 3.6 percent in 2014 and then increase to 3.9 percent in 2015 mainly due to the high performance of emerging economies. 6 Figure 1: Comparison of the Real GDP Growth Rates of Selected Country Groupings 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Advanced Economies Emerging Market and Developing Economies OIC World Source: Calculated by Using IMF Database It is obvious that global economic growth outlook remains challenging, fragile and uncertain. Capital markets do not function efficiently, unemployment problems continue globally and 5 IMF, Global Financial Stability Report 2013, 2014 6 IMF, World Economic Outlook 2014 4 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 debt crisis still persists as one of the serious problems in the global economy, especially in the Euro Zone. In this process, advanced economies try to implement several structural policies to recover their economies. Multiple reasons, such as volatility of capital flows, credit risk, asset price bubbles and instability of commodity prices, particularly fluctuations in food prices, hamper recovery of emerging and developing economies.7 Policy makers are still worried about the sluggish domestic consumption which is the main factor of economic growth in the US Economy. They are, moreover, concerned about the weak banking sector which limits credit supply and hampers the pace of economic recovery in Europe. Emerging markets and developing countries have been adversely affected by the relative slow growth and uncertainty in the advanced economies through trade and financial channels which lead to domestic weaknesses.8 In this vein, current account imbalances of emerging markets decreased from 1.6 percent in 2011 to 0.7 percent in 2013. In particular, similarly current account deficits are estimated to decline in some advanced economies such as France, Italy, Greece, Portugal, and Spain. These economies, together, accounted for the majority of the world’s current account deficits before the crisis. In contrast, the current account deficits in the United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia became healthier in 2013. The United States recovered current account deficit level in 2013 from -2.7 percent to -2.3 percent. During the same period, OIC countries, which are mostly emerging economies, current account surpluses decreased from 6.2 percent to 3.9 percent. Finally, geopolitical risks in Russia and Ukraine and Middle East particularly in Syria and Iraq have so far had limited spillovers to global markets. The financial impact of these political tensions has largely been confined to local markets. Spillovers have been modest so far due to economic and financial linkages of most of the countries with particularly Russia and Ukraine are limited outside the energy sector. Namely, local markets have been affected seriously like a rise in local bond yields by the financial impact of these political tensions. 9 7 Islamic Development Bank, Annual Report 8 Islamic Development Bank, Annual Report 9 IMF, World Economic Outlook 2014 5 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 2. FINANCIAL OUTLOOK OF OIC MEMBER COUNTRIES A country's financial system includes banks, securities markets, pension and mutual funds, insurers, market infrastructures, central banks as well as regulatory and supervisory authorities. These institutions and markets have outstanding roles in channeling savings to investments efficiently in order to support economic growth. Problems in financial systems cause to disrupt the effectiveness of monetary policy, exacerbate economic downturns, trigger capital flight and make pressures on exchange rates, and create large fiscal costs related to rescuing troubled financial institutions. Therefore, resilient financial systems that are wellregulated and well-supervised are essential for both domestic and international economic and financial stability.10 In other words, a financial system is very significant for the whole economy. A well-functioning financial system contributes to economic growth, development and poverty alleviation by promoting investments, mobilizing savings, easing access to finance, increasing financial literacy, reducing information, transaction and monitoring costs and allocating the resources efficiently in the overall economy. Since low income households are excluded from the financial system especially in developing countries, they do not take part in the process of economic development as shown by several studies11. In order for underprivileged people to benefit more from economic growth, development of a sustainable financial system is required. Some empirical studies also prove that an increase in the level of financial development results in a decrease in the level of income inequality through sustainable economic growth, creating more jobs and well-designed financial instruments.12 This outlook analyzes in particular the banking sector and security markets of OIC Member States. It aims to shed light on recent financial trends and the development of financial institutions and markets of OIC Member States. In this Financial Outlook, OIC Member States have been categorized in four major groups according to the World Bank Income Grouping Methodology (according to their GDP Per Capita levels), which is globally used in current financial economic researches. According to this categorization, 19 countries are in OIC-Low Income Group (OIC-LIG); 15 are in OIC Lower Middle Income Group (OIC-LMIG); 16 are in OIC-Upper Middle Income Group (OIC-UMIG), and 7 are in OIC-High Income Group (OIC-HIGH) as shown in the table below: Financial System Soundness Indicators 2013, IMF 11 Role of Microfinance in Poverty Alleviation 2008, Mohammed Obaidullah, IRTI 12 Global Financial Development Report 2013, The World Bank 10 6 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Table 1: Categorization of OIC Member States CATEGORIES COUNTRIES NUMBER OF COUNTRIES OIC-Low income group US$ 1035 or less Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Benin, Burkina Faso, Chad, Comoros, The Gambia, Guinea, Guinea Bissau, Kyrgyz Republic, Mali, Mozambique, Niger, Sierra Leone, Somalia, Tajikistan, Togo, Uganda 19 OIC-Lower middle income group US$ 1,036 to US$ 4,085 Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, Djibouti, Egypt, Guyana, Indonesia, Mauritania, Morocco, Nigeria, Pakistan, Senegal, Sudan, Syria, Uzbekistan, Yemen Albania, Algeria, Azerbaijan, Gabon, Islamic Republic of Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Lebanon, Libya, Malaysia, Maldives, Suriname, Tunisia, Turkey, Turkmenistan 15 Bahrain, Brunei Darussalam, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates 7 OIC-Upper middle income US$ 4,086 to US$12,615 OIC-High income group US$ 12,616 or more 16 Source: World Bank Several financial indicators13 were used within the four fields to measure how well financial institutions and markets of OIC Member States perform: (a) Financial Depth: Measures the size of financial institutions and markets, (b) Financial Access: Measures the degree to which individuals can and do use financial institutions and markets, (c) Financial Efficiency: Measures the efficiency of financial institutions and markets in providing financial services, (d) Financial Stability: Measures the stability of financial institutions and markets in order to measure and benchmark financial systems in the OIC region. 13 Benchmarking Financial Systems Around The World 2012, World Bank 7 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Table 2: Selected Financial Data on OIC Member States FINANCIAL INSTITUTION FINANCIAL MARKETS Stock Market Capitalization Stock Traded to GDP DEPTH Private Sector Credit to GDP Deposits to GDP ACCESS Account per Thousand Adults Bank Branches per 100.000 adults Adults with an Account at a Formal Financial Institution to Total Adults % Adults Saving at a Financial Institution in the Past Year to Total Adults % 5 Bank Asset Concentration EFFICIENCY Net Interest Margin Lending Deposit Spread (%) Non-interest Income to Total Income Z-Score Capital Adequacy Ratios Non-Performing loans (%) Stock Market Turnover Ratio STABILITY Volatility of Stock Price Source: World Bank These four components, which are used to characterize and compare financial systems across country groups, aim to give a general sense of the financial development of the OIC Member States. Although sufficient indicators are used to measure the performance of financial institutions of OIC Member States, inadequate data has led to the usage of few benchmarks to evaluate the financial markets of OIC Member States. In this analysis, average figures of WHIGH (World-High Income Countries), W-UMIC (World-Upper Middle Income Countries) and W-LIC (World-Low Income Countries) are used to compare with OIC income groups. IMF and the World Bank databases have been widely used to prepare this outlook. It is clear that available and accurate data is very important to conduct a research in the financial sector. Lack of accurate data for OIC Member States was the main challenge to analyze financial outlook of the OIC region. Information on key financial indicators is presented in the Appendix Section for each OIC member state. 8 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 2.1 FINANCIAL DEPTH A reasonable level of financial depth is one of the crucial prerequisites of financial development. The deeper the financial institutions and markets, the more diversified and sophisticated financial services are. The size of the financial institutions and financial players measures the level of financial depth in a country or region. In a deep market, many actors conduct a great deal of transactions (in a competitive and efficient market). As a result, higher competitiveness; transparency, accountability and better risk management are facilitated. Private credit to GDP and bank deposits to GDP ratios are used to measure the financial depth of financial institutions in OIC Member States. Private credit extended by banks and financial institutions to the real economy is a key to sustainable economic growth. It provides not only a convenient environment for the real investment in the economy but also a more efficient use of scarce resources in the financial sector. There is evidence that credit expansion has a positive impact on the economic growth and financial depth.14 Therefore, private credit to GDP is one of the significant indicators to measure financial depth. But, to what extent credit expansion has a positive impact on overall economy is a matter of debate. Excessive credit expansion may threaten the financial stability and end up with a credit boom. In this perspective, there are considerable differences among OIC-LIG, OIC-LMIG, OIC-UMIG and OIC-HIGH country groups. Some OIC Member States show a remarkable performance compared to others. As shown in Figure 2 below, OIC-LIG and OIC-LMIG countries suffer from inadequate access to credit more than high income group countries. Although, private credit to GDP ratios of OICHIGH countries were 72.4 in 2009, 64.4 percent in 2010 and 45.5 percent in 2011, the ratios of OIC-LIG countries were only 13.6 percent, 14.9 percent and 16.1 percent for the same years respectively. Furthermore, while private credit to GDP ratios of World Average was 41 percent in 2009, 39 percent in 2010 and 37.6 percent in 2011, the ratios of OIC Average were 34.5 percent, 33.4 percent and 32 percent in 2009, 2010 and 2011 respectively. It can be also seen from the graph that there is a huge gap between average rates of W-HIGH and OIC-HIGH countries. This Figure also indicates that the lack of private credit opportunities for OIC-Lower income groups is an important obstacle to increasing investment and growth compared to World and OIC Average. Bank deposits to GDP refers to the total value of demand, time and saving deposits at domestic deposit money banks as a share of GDP. Commercial banks and other financial institutions that accept transferable deposits, such as demand deposits are included in the deposit money banks.15 Deposit levels are very important for stimulating investments, mobilizing savings, easing access to finance in the financial system. 14 15 Benchmarking Financial Systems Around The World 2012, World Bank Benchmarking Financial Systems Around The World 2012, World Bank 9 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Figure 2: Private Credit by Deposit Money Banks and Other Financial Institutions to GDP Ratios 100% 95% 90% 85% 80% 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% W-HIGH W-UMIC 2009 2010 2011 W-LIC OIC-LIG OIC-LMIG OIC-UMIG OIC-HIGH WORLD OIC Average Average Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database Figure 3: Bank Deposits to GDP Ratios 80% W-HIGH 70% 60% 50% W-UMIC 40% 2009 2010 30% W-LIC 20% 2011 10% 0% OIC-LIG OIC-LMIG OIC-UMIG OIC-HIGH WORLD OIC Average Average Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database The Figure above shows that OIC-LIG and OIC-LMIG have very low levels of bank deposits compared to OIC-UMIG and OIC-HIGH. In 2011, OIC-LIG countries recorded 23.3 percent bank deposit ratio and OIC-LMIG countries recorded about 37.1 percent bank deposit ratio. 10 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 However, OIC-UMIG countries recorded 68.8 percent and HIGH countries recorded 45.5 percent bank deposits ratio in the same year. World Average for bank deposits ratio was about 44 percent during 2009-2011. OIC Average ratios were 43 percent, 42 percent and 42 percent in 2009, 2010 and 2011 respectively. On the other hand, bank deposits ratios of OIC-HIGH countries were 59.5 percent in 2009, 57.3 percent in 2010 and 45.5 percent in 2011 and higher than World Average and OIC Average. Also, bank deposits to GDP ratio of W-HIGH countries, which is approximately 80 percent, exceeds significantly OIC HIGH countries during 2009-2011. Namely, banking sectors in OIC-LIG and OIC-LMIG suffer from insufficient deposits compared to other groups. Stock market capitalization and stock traded to GDP ratios are used to analyze the financial depth of financial markets in OIC Member States. Stock markets consist of securities, public and corporate bonds, future and option contracts. It is clear that a well-functioning stock market is also more attractive to foreign investors. Figure 4: Stock Market Capitalization to GDP Ratios 80% 70% 60% W-HIGH 50% 2009 40% 2010 30% W-UMIC W-LIC 20% 2011 10% 0% OIC-LIG OIC-LMIG OIC-UMIG OIC-HIGH WORLD OIC Average Average Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database Stock market capitalization to GDP ratio measures the strength of the security market in the economy. The above Figure shows that OIC-LIG recorded 9.3 percent stock market capitalization ratio in 2010 and OIC-LMIG recorded 26.7 percent in 2010. It can also be seen from the Figure that average rates of stock market capitalization to GDP in even OIC-UMIG and OIC HIGH countries which were 64.9 percent and 65.6 percent respectively in 2010 exceeded average of W-HIGH and W-UMIC rates. In other words, this Figure indicates the need for market capitalization of OIC-LIG and OIC-LMIG compared to other groups and average figures. 11 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Figure 5: Stock Market Total Value Traded to GDP Ratios 60% 50% 40% 2009 30% 2010 20% W-HIGH 2011 10% W-UMIC W-LIC 0% OIC-LIG OIC-LMIG OIC-UMIG OIC-HIGH WORLD OIC Average Average Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database Stock market total value traded ratio which includes information on the size and activity of the stock market means total value of all listed shares in a stock market as a percentage of GDP.16 The above Figure shows that stock market traded ratios are very low in OIC-LIG countries compared to other OIC groups and World Average. Stock market total value traded ratio of OIC-LIG was 5.1 percent in 2009 and 2010 and it increased to 7.3 percent in 2011. However, the World Average and OIC Average ratios were 5.7 percent and 13.9 percent respectively in 2011. OIC-LMIG values of stock market value traded ratios were 18.2 percent in 2009, 8.7 percent in 2010 and 7.3 percent in 2011. Values of OIC-UMIG and OIC-HIGH countries were higher than World Average figures in the 2009-2011 periods. Also, there is an outstanding gap between OIC-HIGH and W-HIGH rates in 2009. 2.2 FINANCIAL ACCESS The issue of access to finance in broader terms, reflecting education and protection dimensions as well as access and financial inclusion, has been of growing interest throughout the world, particularly in emerging and developing economies. Policymakers are increasingly concerned that the benefits produced by financial intermediation and markets are not being spread widely enough throughout the population and across economic sectors. Furthermore, they are perhaps also concerned about the potential negative consequences on stability when financial concentration is high. Access to and usage of financial products and services are important dimensions of financial inclusion. Enhanced access to finance allows individuals and firms to take advantage of business opportunities, invest in education, save for retirement, and insure against risks.17 16 17 Benchmarking Financial Systems Around The World 2012, World Bank Demirgüç-Kunt, Beck, and Honohan 2008 12 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 When low income households and small enterprises are excluded from the financial system, they are forced to use their personal assets to make investments or start up a business, which results in lower effective utilization of resources. The number of depositors with commercial banks per 1,000 adults, bank branches per 100,000 adults, adults with an account at a formal financial institution and adults saving at a financial institution are basic provider side information on the use of financial services. Hence, these data are analyzed for finding out the level of financial access capacity of financial institutions in OIC Member States. The Number of depositors with commercial banks per 1,000 is one of the indicators of access to financial services. The below Figure shows that there is a significant progress in all the income levels of OIC Member Countries from 2009 to 2011. Bank accounts per 1,000 adults in OIC-LIG countries recorded 152 in 2009. This number increased to 186 in 2010 and reached 237 in 2011. There has been a remarkable progress for OIC-LMIG countries. Although in OICLMIG countries, bank accounts per 1,000 were 264 in 2009, this number increased to 344 in 2010 and reached 393 in 2011. The World Average of bank accounts per 1,000 was 434 in 2009 and increased to 503 in 2010 and to 609 in 2011. It can also be observed from the Figure that there was a significant gap between W-HIGH countries and all OIC income groups. In OICLIG countries, in particular, the usage of financial services still needs to be improved compared to other OIC groups. Figure 6: Bank Accounts per 1, 000 adults in OIC Member States W-HIGH 1.000 800 W-UMIC 600 2009 2010 400 2011 W-LIC 200 0 OIC-LIG OIC-LMIG OIC-UMIG OIC-HIGH WORLD OIC Average Average Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database The Number of bank branches per 100,000 adults is also another important indicator for financial access in the OIC Member Countries. The Figure-7 shows that there is a progress slightly in all the income levels from 2009 to 2011 except OIC-UMIG. Bank branches per 13 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 100,000 adults in OIC-LIG countries recorded 4 in 2009. This number increased approximately to 5 in 2011. There has been a meaningful progress for LMIG countries. While UMIG countries, bank branches per 100,000 were 14,5 in 2009, this number increased to 14,9 in 2010 and again decreased to 14,5 in 2011. OIC-HIGH countries have not recorded any meaningful change during this period. The World Average bank branches per 100,000 was 14 in 2009 and increased to 15,5 in 2010 and to 16 in 2011. It can be also observed that W-High rates of Bank Branches per 100,000 adults were significantly higher than all OIC income groups. In OIC-LIG countries, in particular, the number of bank branches still needs to be increased compared to other groups. Figure 7: Bank Branches per 100,000 Adults in OIC Member States 30 W-HIGH 25 20 W-UMIC 15 2009 2010 10 2011 5 W-LIC 0 OIC-LIG OIC-LMIG OIC-UMIG OIC-HIGH WORLD OIC Average Average Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database Adults with an account at a formal financial institution to total adults are another important financial indicator in this category. The following Figure shows that only 14.2 percent of adults in OIC-LIG countries, 16.5 percent of adults in OIC-LMIG countries and 33.9 percent of adults in OIC-UMIG countries in 2011 had an account at a formal financial institution. However in OICHIGH countries, 66.2 percent of adults in 2011 had an account at a formal financial institution and this ratio was very high compared to 38.2 percent level of World Average in 2011. As seen from the Figure, there is a huge discrepancy between country groups among OIC Member States. OIC-HIGH rate is significantly lower than W-High rate. That is to say, the majority of the population in low income countries does not have basic financial accounts which are accepted as a basic financial service. 14 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Figure 8: Adults with an Account at a Formal Financial Institution to Total Adults 90% W-HIGH 80% 70% 60% 50% W-UMIC 40% 2011 30% 20% W-LIC 10% 0% OIC-LIG OIC-LMIG OIC-UMIG OIC-HIGH WORLD OIC Average Average Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database Furthermore, a reasonable level of savings is a basic requirement to increase investments and to reach sustainable economic growth in OIC Member States. All income groups except OICHIGH countries suffer from low saving rates. Adult saving rates in 2011 for OIC-LIG, OIC-LMIG and OIC-UMIG countries, were 7.8 percent, 6.7 percent and 9.6 percent, respectively. However, adult saving rate of OIC-HIGH countries in 2011 was 23.5 percent and 10,2 percent higher than World Average. Figure also shows that there was a significant gap between average rates of WHIGH income countries and all OIC income groups. Lack of financial capability and awareness are two of the possible reasons for the low saving rates in low, lower and middle income countries. Enhanced access to financial services may increase saving rates for the low income and middle income countries. Figure 9: Adults Saving at a Financial Institution in the Past Year to Total Adults 40% W-HIGH 35% 30% 25% 20% 2011 15% W-UMIC 10% W-LIC 5% 0% OIC-LIG OIC-LMIG OIC-UMIG OIC-HIGH Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database 15 WORLD Average OIC Average Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 The measure of access in financial markets relies on various measures of concentration (a high degree of concentration indicates difficulties for access of market players) in the market. Due to the lack of data, it is not possible to use main indicators for analysis. However, to give an idea of concentration in the market, the ‘5 Bank Asset Concentration Ratio’ is applied to OIC Member States. The volume of the banking sector in the OIC Member States constitutes the majority of the financial system. In this sense, the ‘5 bank asset concentration ratio’, i.e the assets of the five largest banks as a share of total commercial banking assets, emerges as a reasonable indicator of access in financial markets among OIC Member States. In OIC-LIG countries, five banks had 84 percent of total assets in 2009, 86 percent in 2010 and 80 percent in 2011. However, in OIC-HIGH countries five banks had 89 percent of total assets in 2009 and 2010 and 92 percent in 2011. Five banks asset concentration ratios of OIC-HIGH rates were in line with W-High and W-UMIC rates in 2009-2011 period. These figures reveal that there is a high concentration of few banks in the market. Figure 10: 5 Bank Asset Concentration Ratios in OIC Member States 95% 90% W-HIGH W-LIC 85% 2009 80% 2010 75% W-UMIC 2011 70% 65% OIC-LIG OIC-LMIG OIC-UMIG OIC-HIGH WORLD OIC Average Average Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database 2.3 FINANCIAL EFFICIENCY Robust financial systems can increase economic activity and welfare, but instability in the financial system can disrupt financial activity and impose widespread costs on the economy. It is obvious that efficient financial systems perform well. Since higher intermediate cost is reflected on households, governments and firms, lower intermediate costs increase the efficiency of financial institutions and markets. High efficiency in financial institutions also increases their profitability. 16 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 The interest rate spread and non-interest income rates were used to measure efficiency in financial institutions. A narrow interest rate spread means low transaction costs, which reduces the cost of funds for investment, crucial to economic growth. 18 Net interest margin (NIM) is a measure of the difference between the interest income generated by banks or other financial institutions and the amount of interest paid out to their lenders, relative to the amount of their assets. The Figure-11 shows that NIM rates in OIC-LIG and OIC-LMIG countries are higher than OIC-UMIG and OIC-HIGH countries. Interest rates are relatively high for less developed countries to attract more funds compared to more developed countries. In 2009, NIM rates were 6.7 percent for OIC-LIG and 4.6 percent for OIC-LMIG countries; 3.7 percent for OIC-UMIG and 3.3 percent for OIC-HIGH countries. When the effects of the financial crisis passed throughout the year, NIM rates fell down to 6.3 and 5.9 percent in 2010 and 2011 respectively for OIC-LIG and to 4.1 percent in 2010 and 4 percent in 2011 for OIC-LMIG countries. NIM rates of World Average were 3.7 in 2009, 3.9 in 2010 and 4.3 percent in 2011, whereas NIM rates of OIC Average were 4.9 in 2009, 4.4 in 2010 and 2011. These figures reflect the financial vulnerability of those countries. Figure 11: Net Interest Margin in OIC Member States 8% 7% W-LIC 6% 5% W-UMIC 4% 2009 2010 3% W-HIGH 2% 2011 1% 0% OIC-LIG OIC-LMIG OIC-UMIG OIC-HIGH WORLD OIC Average Average Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database Lending deposit spread refers to the difference between lending rate and deposit rate. Lending rate is the rate charged by banks on loans to the private sector and deposit interest rate is the rate offered by commercial banks. The following Figure shows that W-LIC lending deposit ratios were close to OIC-LIG rates that were 11 percent in 2009, 12.2 percent in 2010 and 12.7 percent in 2011 and almost double the World Average rate, which was 6 percent in the same period. Lending deposit ratios of OICHIGH were 4.1 percent in 2009, 4.3 percent in 2010 and 4.2 percent in 2011; significantly lower than OIC Average, which amounted to 7.1, 7.3 and 7.6 percent in 2009, 2010 and 2011 18 The World Bank, World Development Indicators,2013 17 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 respectively. The Figure also shows that W-HIGH countries have lower net interest margin compared to OIC income groups. Figure 12: Lending Deposit Spread in OIC Member States 14% 12% W-LIC 10% 8% 2009 6% W-UMIC W-HIGH 4% 2010 2011 2% 0% OIC-LIG OIC-LMIG OIC-UMIG OIC-HIGH WORLD OIC Average Average Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database Non-interest income is generated by non-interest related activities as a percentage of total income. Non-interest related income includes net gains on trading and derivatives, net gains on other securities, net fees and commissions and other operating income. 19 Non-interest income rates of W-LIG rates were slightly higher than OIC-LIG rates which were 42 percent in 2009, 45.6 percent in 2010 and 45.4 percent in 2011; higher than World Average figures which were 37, 37.1 percent and 35.9 percent in 2009, 2010 and 2011 respectively. However, OIC-UMIG countries recorded 35.9 percent in 2009, 39.9 percent in 2010 and 38.7 percent in 2011, in line with World Average figures. Figure 13: Non-Interest Income to Total Income Rates in OIC Member States 50% W-LIG 40% W-HIGH W-UMIC 30% 2009 20% 2010 10% 2011 0% LIG LMIG UMIG HIGH WORLD OIC Average Average Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database 19 Benchmarking Financial Systems Around The World 2012, World Bank 18 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Stock market turnover ratio was used to measure efficiency in the financial markets of OIC Member States. Higher turnover ratio refers to relatively higher volumes of trading in the market and more liquidity, i.e. there is more scope for price discovery, better transmission of information in the price, and greater efficiency of the market. Stock market turnover ratio meaning to total value of shares traded divided by the average market capitalization is an important indicator of the efficiency of financial markets. On the other hand, stock market turnover data are not available in the majority of OIC Member States. Therefore, income grouping analysis may give improper information for the efficiency analysis. Instead of the grouping analysis methodology, it is better to look at figures of several OIC Member States from each OIC income groups. When the figures are examined, a huge gap among countries becomes more visible.. Although in 2011, stock market turnover ratios of Kyrgyz Republic (OIC-LIG) and Cote d’Ivoire (OIC-LMIG) were only 2.6 percent and 1.7 percent respectively; this ratio was 172 percent in Turkey (OIC-UMIG) and 84 percent in Saudi Arabia (OIC-HIGH). These figures indicate significant differences in the efficiency of financial markets of OIC Member States. 2.4 FINANCIAL STABILITY Financial stability is a vital condition of a well-functioning financial system in the pursuit of financial development. Although rapid growth of financial sector may appear to be a positive sign, lack of proper risk management and regulation may lead to systemic risks which can be a serious threat for financial stability. Consequently, systemic risks may trigger problems in the financial system and then adversely impacts real economy. In other words, a stable financial system that promotes efficient savings and investments is only effective when necessary precautions are taken to ensure an efficient market. In addition, enhanced financial depth, increased access to finance and efficiency in financial institutions and financial markets are prerequisites of financial stability.20 In this study, z-score, regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets ratio and non-performing loans to total gross loans variables are used to measure financial stability of financial institutions in OIC Member States. Z-score compares the buffer of a country's banking system with the volatility of returns. It captures the probability of default of a country's banking system. It is inversely related to the probability of a financial institution’s insolvency. If financial institutions are able to smooth out the reported data, the Z-score may provide an overly positive assessment of the stability of the financial institutions. This means a higher z-score implies a lower probability of insolvency.21 The Figure-14 shows that probability of insolvency is high in OIC-LIG countries compared to OIC-LMIG, OIC-UMIG, OIC-HIGH countries and even the World Average. In 2011, the Z-score ratio is about 11 percent for OIC-LIG, 20 percent for OIC-LMIG, 19 percent for OIC-UMIG and 17.4 percent for OIC-HIGH. OIC-LIG countries are more likely to face solvency problems compared to World Average. However, OIC-LMIG, OIC-UMIG and OIC-HIGH statistics are in line 20 21 The World Bank, World Development Indicators,2013 Benchmarking Financial Systems Around The World 2012, World Bank 19 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 with OIC Average figures and have better Z-score rates compared to World Average and World Income Groups. Figure 14: Z-Scores in OIC Member States 25 20 15 10 W-UMIC W-HIGH 2009 W-LIC 2010 2011 5 0 OIC-LIG OIC-LMIG OIC-UMIG OIC-HIGH WORLD OIC Average Average Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database Regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets means a ratio of total regulatory capital to its held assets, weighted according to the risk of those assets.22 Risk weighted asset ratio plays a significant role in the robustness of the financial institutions in the face of shocks. International financial institutions, in particular the Bank for International Settlement (BIS), recommend holding optimum capital against the risk instruments to prevent systemic risk. However, regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets data is not available in the majority of OIC Member States. Instead of the grouping analysis methodology, it could be better to analyze such countries that generate data in this field. Among member states, regulatory capital to riskweighted assets of Kyrgyz Republic (OIC-LIG) and Sierra Leone (OIC-LIG) was 30.3 percent and 27 percent in 2011 respectively, whereas it was 9.9 percent in Nigeria (OIC-LMIG), 12.1 percent in Lebanon (OIC-UMIG), 16,5 percent in Turkey (OIC-UMIG) and 21,2 in United Arab Emirates (OIC-HIGH) in 2011. According to available data the majority of OIC member states showed comparatively better performance than World Average (15.8). Non-performing loans (NPL) occur as a result of breaching the provisions of loan contracts regarding pre-set payment dates. Generally, it is described as overdue payments for more than a predetermined number of days. NPL ratio is the ratio of defaulting loans to total gross loans. The higher NPL ratio, the higher the possibility of insolvency in the banking sector is. 22 Benchmarking Financial Systems Around The World 2012, World Bank 20 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Figure 15: Non-Performing Loans in OIC Member States 14% 12% 10% 8% W-LIC 6% 2009 2010 4% W-HIGH W-UMIC 2011 2% 0% OIC-LIG OIC-LMIG OIC-UMIG OIC-HIGH WORLD OIC Average Average Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database The Figure-15 shows that NPL ratios of OIC-LIG countries were 9.3 percent in 2009, 10.5 percent in 2010 and 9 percent in 2011; in parallel to OIC Average ratios which were about 9.5 percent in 2009, 9.4 percent in 2010 and 8.7 percent in 2011. However, NPL ratios of OICHIGH countries were 5.5 percent in 2009, 5.1 percent in 2010 and 4.5 percent in 2011, slightly higher than World Average and W-HIGH figures which were 4.3 percent in 2009, 4 percent in 2010 and 2011. OIC-LIG, OIC-LMIG, OIC-UMIG and OIC-HIGH countries have higher possibility of solvency compared to W-UMIC countries in banking sector. Market volatility is one of the most widely used indicators for financial stability. In this study, volatility of stock price index was used to measure the financial stability of financial markets of OIC Member States. Volatility of stock price index is the 360-day standard deviation of the return on the national stock market index and is an important indicator of stability in the financial markets. The Figure-16 expresses the level of volatility of stock prices of OIC groups according to their income levels. Volatility index rates of OIC-LIG countries were 36.5 percent in 2009 and 30.4 percent in 2010; higher than OIC Average rates which were 34.1 and 24.5 percent in 2009, 2010 respectively. Volatility index rates of OIC-HIGH countries were 32 percent in 2009 and 22.4 percent in 2010, whereas they were moderately lower than World Average figures of 40.8 percent in 2009 and 30.5 percent in 2010. 21 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Figure 16: Volatility of Stock Prices in OIC Member States 45 40 35 30 25 2009 20 W-HIGH W-UMIC 15 10 W-LIC 5 0 OIC-LMIG OIC-UMIG OIC-HIGH WORLD Average OIC Average Source: Calculated by Using World Bank Database 22 2010 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 3. FINANCIAL COOPERATION UNDER THE COMCEC The financial cooperation area has a great potential for the socio-economic development of the OIC member countries. This potential could not be fully realized due to several reasons. The majority of the OIC Member States financial markets are not efficient to support a sustainable economic growth and development, especially in low and lower-middle income OIC countries. Member States confront some economic and financial difficulties due to the small size of their financial markets, lack of diversified financial products and inefficiency of their financial institutions. Therefore, COMCEC aims to help the Member States overcome the obstacles faced in the area of financial cooperation. The ideas for enhancing financial cooperation under the COMCEC date back to its initial meetings. The Cooperation efforts in this area have been intensified and deepened in recent years. The COMCEC Strategy, adopted by the 4th Extraordinary Islamic Summit in 2012, defined finance as one of the cooperation areas of COMCEC. Furthermore, there are also several on-going efforts in this field such as cooperation among the Stock Exchanges Forum, COMCEC Capital Markets Regulators Forum and the Meetings of Central Banks and Monetary Authorities. 3.1 THE COMCEC STRATEGY: FINANCIAL COOPERATION COMCEC Strategy defines “deepening financial cooperation among the member countries” as the strategic objective of the COMCEC in this field. The Strategy identifies, “Regulatory and Supervisory Cooperation”, “Capital Flows”, “Visibility of Financial Markets”, “Training, R&D Activities and Statistics” as output areas in its finance section and specifies several expected outcomes under each of them. 3.1.1 REGULATORY AND SUPERVISIORY COOPERATION COMCEC aims to help to improve the quality of regulation, supervision and cooperation among regulatory and supervisory bodies in the OIC Member States. The expected outcomes defined by the Strategy are as follows: Developed legal, regulatory and institutional framework, More standardized contracts and more harmonized regulations, Converged listing requirements, trading rules and technical infrastructure, Strengthened arbitration procedures, credit information and credit registry system, risk measurement and risk management systems. 23 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 3.1.2 CAPITAL FLOWS Attracting capital flows at competitive rate is one of the major common challenges faced in many OIC Member States. In this regard, COMCEC will support to ease the capital flows within the member countries through contributing to removal of institutional and regulatory barriers and developing relevant platforms. The Strategy envisages the following expected outcomes: Enhanced access to capital at competitive rates, Diversified portfolios, Increased investment opportunities. 3.1.3 VISIBILITY OF FINANCIAL MARKETS Financial visibility is crucial for attracting more FDI and capital flows, and also for the deepening of the market. With this view, COMCEC will help to enhance the visibility of financial markets in the member countries. Regarding the Visibility of Financial Markets, the expected outcomes introduced by the Strategy are given below: Enhanced awareness on Islamic financial markets, Increased issuance and listing of securities, Attracted foreign investment. BOX 1:Rise of Islamic Finance Islamic finance has become an important part of the international financial system and was, certainly, one of its fastest growing components over the last decades. In the wake of the financial crisis, there has been a renewed debate on the role that Islamic finance can play, with its strong ethical principles and asset based approach, in the stabilization of the global financial system. 23 The value of Islamic financial assets worldwide increased from USD 150 billion in the mid1990s to about USD 1.8 trillion by end-2013. Islamic banking (80%) and sukuk (15%) sectors still lead the Islamic finance industry24. The total value of assets is estimated to surpass USD 2 trillion in 2014. Despite the formidable growth of the last few years, Islamic finance still accounts for a relatively small share of global finance, Islamic financial assets make up less than 1 percent of the world’s financial assets25, and remains mostly localized in selected areas of the world, particularly in the Middle East and South Eastern Asia. European Central Bank, Islamic Finance in Europe, June 2013 Kuwait Finance House, Islamic Finance 1Q2014 Performance Review, July 2014 25 IMF, IMF Working Paper, Islamic Finance in Sub-Sahran Africa: Status and Prospects, August 2014 23 24 24 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Figure 17: Trends in Global Islamic Finance Assets (billion USD) $2.000 1800 $1.800 1600 $1.600 1289 $1.400 1130 $1.200 933 $1.000 861 $800 $600 677 509 $400 $200 $0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: SESRIC, European Central Bank and Islamic Finance 1Q2014 Performance Review Islamic banking has become the fastest growing segment of the international financial system as well as the global Islamic finance industry. The Islamic banking industry, in particular, has been growing at a sustained rate, despite being at a nascent stage. Islamic banks handled approximately USD 1.54 trillion in Shari’ah compliant assets with commercial banks globally at the end of 2012, and it is estimated that the total assets was USD 1.7 Trillion in 2013 with an annual growth of 17.6% over last four years26. Figure 18: Growth Rate of Global Islamic Finance Assets 35% 33,0% 30% 27,2% 24,1% 25% 21,1% 20% 14,1% 15% 12,5% 8,4% 10% 5% 0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: SESRIC and European Central Bank 26 Ernst & Young , World Islamic Banking Competitiveness Report 2013-2014, 25 2013 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Islamic banking continues to dominate the global Islamic finance industry, representing about 80 percent of total Islamic financial assets. Iran, four prominent Gulf States (i.e. Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Qatar), as well as countries in South-East Asia account for most of the Islamic banking market. On the other hand, the other regions like Sub-Saharan Africa have great potentials for financial deepening. For instance, as of end2012, about 38 Islamic finance institutions- comprising commercial banks, investments banks, and takaful (insurance) operators- were operating in Africa. Out of this, 21 operated in North Africa, Mauritania and Sudan, and 17 in Sub-Saharan Africa27 in 2012. Figure 19: Global Islamic billions) 16,6 Financial Assets: Geographical Breakdown, 2012 (US$ 59,1 SSA North America/ Europe 284,2 469,1 Asia GCC Mena ( ex- GCC) 500,3 Source: IMF, IMF Working Paper, Islamic Finance in Sub-Saharan Africa: Status and Prospects, August 2014 In terms of banking, Islamic banks managed to remain stable at the early phases of the crisis, driven as such by three main factors: First, compared to conventional banks’ financial activities that are more focused on the real economic activities, Islamic banks’ activities are based on asset-based transactions. Second, conventional banks have financial instruments such as collateralized debt obligations, cash management bills and credit default swaps that are considered contributors to the financial crisis and these instruments have no place in Islamic banks. Third, in general larger proportion of Islamic banks is in illiquid form unlike their conventional counterparts.28 Although Islamic finance is at an early stage, it includes huge potential for OIC Member IMF, IMF Working Paper, Islamic Finance in Sub-Sahran Africa: Status and Prospects, August 2014 27 Impact of the Financial Crisis on Profitability of the Islamic Banks vs Conventional Banks- Evidence from GCC, Muni Sekhar Amba& Fayza Almukharreq, 2013 28 26 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 States to support diversification of financial instruments in order to reach a sustainable economic growth. For the sake of real economy, Islamic financial products present beneficial investment opportunities for the regional investors and international funds. Figure 20: Composition of Global Islamic Financial Assets 15,00% 4,00% 1,00% Sukuk Islamic Funds Takaful Islamic Banking 80,00% Source: Kuwait Finance House, Islamic Finance 1Q2014 Performance Review, July 2014 3.1.4 TRAINING, R&D ACTIVITIES AND STATISTICS The lack of sound statistical capacity and lack of diversified products due to limited R&D activities are main challenges of OIC Member States. In this framework, COMCEC attaches great importance to training and R&D activities to improve human capital for a sustainable growth and economy. COMCEC also assists OIC Member States in monitoring their financial markets and financial institutions to ensure their efficiency and stability. The expected outcomes of the Strategy concerning this Output Area are: Enhanced diversification and variety of financial products, Developed platforms for payment and settlement systems and post trade services, Developed human resources and increased financial literacy, Reliable and consistent financial system database and creation of indicators of financially sound systems, Enhanced monitoring of financial institutions and markets. 27 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 3.2 IMPLEMENTATION OF THE STRATEGY In line with its objectives and expected outcomes, the COMCEC Strategy brings well-identified operational instruments, i.e. the Working Groups and the COMCEC Project Cycle Management (PCM). 3.2.1 COMCEC FINANCIAL COOPERATION WORKING GROUP The COMCEC Financial Cooperation Working Group aims to bring the relevant finance experts from the OIC Member States regularly together and to serve as a regular platform for the Member Country experts to discuss their common issues in finance sector and share their knowledge, experiences and best practices, for disseminating knowledge, developing common understanding and approximating policies among Member Countries. The First Financial Cooperation Working Group Meeting was held on December 12th, 2013, in Ankara with the theme of “Enhancing Capital flows in the OIC Member States”. The Meeting was attended by the representatives of the 14 Member States, which have notified their focal points for the Financial Cooperation Working Group. SESRIC, Secretariat of the OIC Member States' Stock Exchanges Forum, Secretariat of the COMCEC Capital Markets Regulators Forum, representatives from international institutions and some other esteemed guests have also attended the Meeting. The Meeting has considered the analytical study titled “Barriers and Opportunities for Enhancing Capital Flows in the COMCEC Member Countries” and “COMCEC Finance Outlook 2013” prepared by the COMCEC Coordination Office (CCO). During the meeting, participants have discussed deliberated on how to improve capital flows among the Member Countries and highlighted major challenges in this regard. The barriers such as government controls on capital transactions, underdeveloped capital markets, weak enforcement of regulations, unattractive taxation regimes and insufficient capacity are among the major obstacles highlighted during the Meeting. The Second Meeting of the COMCEC Financial Cooperation Working Group was held on March 27th, 2014 with the theme of “Enhancing Financial Inclusion in the Member States”. An analytical study was also prepared on the theme of the Meeting and circulated to all member countries. The Meeting was attended by the representatives of 17 Member States, which have notified their focal points for the Financial Cooperation Working Group and SESRIC, Secretariat of the OIC Member States' Stock Exchanges Forum, Secretariat of the COMCEC Capital Markets Regulators Forum, Islamic Development Bank Group (IDB), World Bank, World Bank Global Islamic Finance Development Centre and Participation Banks Association of Turkey. The participants have deliberated on the institutional framework for financial inclusion in the Member Countries, barriers on enhancing financial inclusion and measures for reducing financially excluded population in the Member Countries and the policy recommendations for enhancing financial inclusion in the Member Countries. 28 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 The proceedings of the abovementioned Meetings and the presentations made during these Meetings are available on the COMCEC Web page (www.comcec.org). The third Meeting will be held on October 16th, 2014 in Ankara, Turkey with the theme of “Risk Management in Islamic Financial Instruments”. The COMCEC Financial Cooperation Working Group, during its third Meeting, is expected to deliberate on risk management in Islamic financial instruments, identify challenges faced by the Member Countries, and provide policy recommendations to enhance the cooperation in in this field. 3.2.2 PROJECT CYCLE MANAGEMENT (PCM) The other important instrument for the implementation of COMCEC Strategy is the new COMCEC Project Cycle Management (PCM). Within the COMCEC PCM, the member countries registered for the Financial Cooperation Working Group and the OIC Institutions operating in the field of economic and commercial cooperation would have the opportunity to propose concrete multilateral cooperation projects in line with the objectives, expected outcomes and principles of the Strategy; the projects are being financed by CCO through grants. The first project call within the scope of the COMCEC PCM was made in September 2013. The Final List of the COMCEC-PCM was announced on March 9th, 2014. Regarding Financial Cooperation field, Cameroon’s project titled “Workshop on the Challenges of Electronic Payment Systems in West and Central African States” has been final-listed. In this context, the Member Countries are expected to submit concrete proposals to the CCO under the 2nd project call made in September 2014. 3.3 ON-GOING ACTIVITIES UNDER THE COMCEC 3.3.1 OIC MEMBER STATES STOCK EXCHANGES FORUM COMCEC initiated the cooperation among Stock Exchanges of the Member States in 2005 and "OIC Member States Stock Exchanges Forum" was established in this regard. The Forum focuses on the harmonization of the rules and regulations governing market operations, as well as opening communication channels for the stock exchanges of the OIC Member Countries and relevant institutions. The Forum provides a regular cooperation platform for the Stock Exchanges of the member countries to share their experiences and knowledge on harmonizing the rules and regulations governing market operations, as well as for increasing the amount of international portfolio investments flowing to OIC Member States. The Forum has convened seven times till now and has achieved remarkable progress in deepening cooperation among the Stock Exchanges of the Member States. It has completed its work regarding the S&P OIC/COMCEC Index. The Index, launched on June 22nd 2012, in 29 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Istanbul, was designed to measure the performance of 50 leading companies from the 19 member states of OIC, namely, Bahrain, Bangladesh, Cote D’ivoire, Egypt, Indonesia, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Malaysia, Morocco, Nigeria, Oman, Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia, Turkey and the United Arab Emirates. The official launching ceremony of the Index was held during the 28th Session of the COMCEC. The 8th OIC Member States Stock Exchanges Forum will be held on November 11th, 2014 in İstanbul. 3.3.2 COMCEC CAPITAL MARKETS REGULATORS FORUM In line with the relevant resolutions of the 25th and the 26th Sessions of the COMCEC calling for developing a cooperation mechanism for capital markets regulatory bodies of the Member States, the COMCEC Capital Markets Regulators Forum was established in 2011. The Forum aims at increasing coordination and cooperation in regulatory and legal infrastructure with a view to achieving more harmonized policies and regulations among the OIC Member States, supporting market development and reinforcing capabilities of regulatory authorities. Capacity Building, Market Development, Islamic Finance and Financial Literacy Task Forces have been established under the Forum in recent period. These Task Forces prepared the reports on Development of Capital Market Infrastructures, Enhancing Financial Literacy in Capital Market, and Enhancing Infrastructure for Islamic Capital Market and submitted these reports to the 2nd COMCEC Capital Markets Regulators Forum held on September 19th 2013, in İstanbul. The 3rd COMCEC Capital Markets Regulators Forum will be held on November 11 th, 2014 in İstanbul. 3.3.3 COOPERATION AMONG THE CENTRAL BANKS AND MONETARY AUTHORITIES As per the resolution of the 24th Session of the COMCEC, since 2009 the Central Banks and Monetary Authorities of the Member Countries of the OIC have regularly convened for sharing experiences and enhancing institutional and human capacity in this field. Working groups have been established under this fruitful cooperation platform to prepare technical background papers in the following areas: Payment Systems (Co‐chairs: Turkey and Indonesia), Macro‐ Prudential Regulations (Co‐chairs: Sudan and United Arab Emirates), and Liquidity Management in Islamic Finance (Co‐chairs: Malaysia and Bahrain). The 13th Meeting of the Central Banks and Monetary Authorities of the Member Countries was held on 27-28 November 2013 in Saudi Arabia. The Fourteenth Meeting will be held on 5-6 November, 2014 in Surabaya, Indonesia. 30 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 CONCLUSION This COMCEC Financial Outlook-2014 provides various aspects of finance sector in the OIC Member States and touches upon the cooperation endeavours under the COMCEC. In this outlook, in addition to the financial depth, access, efficiency and stability dimensions of the financial markets and institutions of OIC Member States, in particular the banking sector and security markets of OIC Member States are examined. With regard to financial depth indicators, OIC-LIG and OIC-LMIG countries suffer from inadequate access to credit more than high-income group countries. Indicators show that the lack of private credit opportunities for OIC-LIG is an important obstacle to increase investment and growth compared to World and OIC Average. OIC-LIG and OIC-LMIG have very low levels of bank deposits, bank account and bank branches compared to OIC-UMIG and OIC-HIGH. In 2011, LIG countries recorded 23.3 percent bank deposit ratio and OIC-LMIG countries recorded about 37.1 percent bank deposit ratio. Obviously it should be mentioned that generally for all OIC Member States deposit levels are very important for stimulating investments, mobilizing savings, easing access to finance in the financial system. In terms of stock market, it consist of securities, public and corporate bonds, future and option contracts. It is clear that a well-functioning stock market attracts foreign investors for the countries which need FDIs. Moreover, current available data indicate the need for market capitalization of OIC-LIG and OIC-LMIG compared to other OIC groups. Access to and usage of financial products and services are seen as important dimensions of financial operations. Enhanced access to finance allows individuals and firms to take advantage of business opportunities, invest in education, save for retirement, and insure against risks. The situation in OIC Member Countries is that bank accounts per 1,000 adults in OIC-LIG countries recorded 152 in 2009. This number increased to 186 in 2010 and reached 237 in 2011. There has been a remarkable progress for OIC-UMIG countries. In OIC-LIG countries, in particular, the usage of financial services still needs to be improved compared to other OIC groups. Obviously, the majority of the population in low-income countries does not have basic financial accounts, which are accepted as a basic financial service. It is certain that enhanced access to financial services may increase saving rates for the low-income and middle-income countries. Data dissemination is also another problem in the IC Member Countries, which influences the comprehensive analysis of market players. With regard to the financial efficiency, scrutinizing financial efficiency performance of the OIC Member States indicates conspicuous differences among them. This outlook figures show that NIM rates in OIC-LIG and OIC-LMIG countries are higher than OIC-UMIG and OIC-HIGH countries. Interest rates are relatively high for less developed countries to attract more funds compared to more developed countries which still remains as one of the main problems for developing OIC markets and it makes their markets inefficient. In addition, stock market turnover data are not available in the majority of OIC Member States. Analyzing the financial stability of financial institutions of OIC Member States, OIC-LIG countries are more likely to face problems of a default in the banking system according to analyzed Z-score values. OIC-LIG countries are more likely to face solvency problems 31 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 compared to World Average. However, OIC-LMIG, OIC-UMIG and OIC-HIGH statistics are in line with OIC Average figures and have better Z-score rates compared to World Average and World Income Groups. Furthermore, Financial Cooperation is also a crucial item of the COMCEC Agenda. Though the ideas for enhancing financial cooperation under the COMCEC date back to its initial meetings, the cooperation efforts in this area have been intensified and deepened in recent years. COMCEC has already initiated cooperation in various areas of financial sector including OIC Member States Stock Exchanges Forum, COMCEC Capital Markets Regulators Forum and cooperation among Central Banks and Monetary Authorities. In addition to these COMCEC financial cooperation initiatives, under the Financial Cooperation Working Group mechanism, the cooperation efforts have gained a new momentum. The COMCEC Financial Cooperation Working Group envisaged by the Strategy provides the necessary ground for the Member Countries experts to elaborate on the issues of common concern. The COMCEC Financial Cooperation Working Group would complement the ongoing efforts under the OIC Member States Stock Exchanges Forum, the COMCEC Capital Markets Regulators Forum and Cooperation among the Central Banks and Monetary Authorities. 32 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 APPENDIX Table 3: Selected Financial Data on LIG-OIC Member States (2009) Categories Low Income Group US$ 1035 or less 1 Afghanistan 2 Bangladesh 3 Benin 4 Burkina Faso 5 Chad 6 Comoros 7 The Gambia 8 Guinea 9 Guinea-Bissau 10 Kyrgyz Republic 11 Mali 12 Mozambique 13 Niger 14 Sierra Leone 15 Tajikistan 16 Togo 17 Uganda Financial Depth Financial Access Private Bank Stock market credit by deposits capitalization deposit to GDP (%) to GDP (%) money banks and other financial institutions to GDP (%) 7,64 37,69 21,14 16,62 4,88 13,27 12,87 3,88 5,06 N/A 16,87 20,46 11,33 6,92 N/A 17,77 11,08 13,11 47,35 25,06 17,78 6,03 20,94 33,56 13,83 9,37 N/A 18,16 30,69 10,49 15,18 N/A 28,56 15,04 N/A 7,64 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1,62 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 20,68 Stock market total value traded to GDP (%) Bank accounts per 1,000 adults N/A 13,16 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1,74 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0,26 N/A 274,63 N/A N/A 15,42 60,27 N/A N/A N/A 74,60 N/A N/A N/A 109,23 365,46 203,62 167,86 Bank branches per 100,000 adults N/A 7,28 N/A N/A 0,57 1,22 7,25 1,19 N/A 6,94 N/A 2,87 N/A 2,66 5,90 4,18 2,31 Financial Efficiency Adults Adults 5-bank asset Net Lending- Nonwith an saving at concentration interest deposit interest account at a fin. inst. margin (%) spread income to a formal in the past (%) total fin. inst. to year to income total total (%) adults (%) adults (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Source: The World Bank Database 33 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 89,85 44,25 98,14 85,78 N/A N/A 100,00 N/A N/A N/A 86,90 94,70 N/A 87,24 N/A N/A 72,17 23,49 40,94 40,27 46,52 48,41 N/A 42,32 60,38 60,26 20,72 44,90 41,96 42,65 50,38 29,46 4,61 37,05 N/A 6,40 N/A N/A N/A 5,13 11,50 N/A N/A 19,16 N/A 6,15 N/A 13,08 15,02 N/A 11,20 31,07 40,13 37,12 72,76 N/A N/A 52,40 46,73 47,97 30,25 58,74 33,52 50,49 39,01 62,67 52,91 33,11 Financial Stability Stock Bank Zmarket score turnover ratio (value traded/cap italization) (%) N/A 213,86 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 89,03 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0,31 13,09 8,16 15,91 7,87 17,55 N/A 5,62 2,96 N/A 33,64 10,97 2,12 18,78 4,27 10,67 4,42 19,91 Regulatory Bank non- Volatility capital to performing of stock riskloans to price weighted gross index assets (%) loans (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 33,50 N/A 15,10 N/A 34,00 30,00 N/A 20,90 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 8,20 N/A 1,80 N/A 10,60 21,60 N/A 4,20 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Table 4: Selected Financial Data on LMIG-OIC Member States (2009) Categories Financial Depth Financial Access Private Bank Stock market Stock credit by deposits capitalization market deposit to GDP (%) to GDP (%) total Lower middle income money value group US$ 1,036 to banks and traded to other GDP (%) US$ 4,085 financial institutions to GDP (%) 1 Cameroon 2 Côte d'Ivoire 3 Djibouti 4 Egypt 5 Guyana 6 Indonesia 7 Mauritania 8 Morocco 9 Nigeria 10 Pakistan 11 Senegal 12 Sudan 13 Syria 14 Uzbekistan 15 Yemen 10,09 16,38 25,79 37,03 56,12 25,18 27,79 74,52 35,39 23,84 24,07 9,68 17,47 N/A 6,64 15,90 18,49 71,73 68,89 84,58 31,90 22,86 81,60 34,06 29,63 26,73 12,18 48,17 N/A 19,79 N/A 27,81 N/A 47,21 14,36 24,86 N/A 69,56 21,74 15,89 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Bank accounts per 1,000 adults N/A 0,93 N/A 33,21 N/A 20,18 N/A 27,89 6,27 21,01 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 71,07 N/A 91,09 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 454,39 206,95 90,81 N/A 195,61 900,45 103,18 Bank branches per 100,000 adults 1,42 N/A N/A 4,61 6,69 7,51 4,20 19,62 6,34 8,32 3,89 1,91 3,65 46,80 1,96 Financial Efficiency Adults Adults 5-bank asset Net Lending- Nonwith an saving at concentration interest deposit interest account at a fin. inst. margin (%) spread income to a formal in the past (%) total fin. inst. to year to income total total (%) adults (%) adults (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Source: The World Bank Database 34 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 89,16 88,51 N/A 67,66 N/A 60,61 100,00 92,76 75,59 56,21 85,53 81,66 88,48 94,08 N/A 5,46 5,14 3,40 2,37 5,60 6,59 4,39 3,06 7,18 5,22 6,50 4,65 0,93 3,26 4,97 N/A N/A 9,72 5,48 12,22 5,22 11,50 N/A 5,07 5,86 N/A N/A 3,66 N/A 7,33 31,33 52,38 7,77 31,43 30,77 22,15 61,36 27,36 42,85 23,97 27,45 48,47 28,64 62,70 23,61 Financial Stability Stock Bank Zmarket score turnover ratio (value traded/cap italization) (%) N/A 2,08 N/A 59,20 N/A 85,95 N/A 46,52 12,48 91,48 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 16,08 18,90 11,42 40,32 18,96 1,65 24,59 41,72 -4,51 13,89 40,42 20,84 6,75 7,69 24,29 Regulatory Bank non- Volatility capital to performing of stock riskloans to price weighted gross index assets (%) loans (%) N/A N/A N/A 15,10 N/A 17,40 N/A 11,70 20,90 14,00 16,50 N/A N/A 23,40 N/A N/A N/A N/A 13,40 N/A 3,30 N/A 5,50 36,10 12,60 18,70 N/A N/A 1,20 N/A N/A N/A N/A 40,04 N/A 48,37 N/A 25,35 29,14 39,58 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Table 5: Selected Financial Data on UMIG-OIC Member States (2009) Categories Financial Depth Financial Access Private Bank Stock market Stock credit by deposits capitalization market Upper middle income deposit to GDP (%) to GDP (%) total money value US$ 4,086 to banks and traded to US$12,615 other GDP (%) financial institutions to GDP (%) 1 Albania 2 Algeria 3 Azerbaijan 4 Gabon 5 Iran 6 Iraq 7 Jordan 8 Kazakhstan 9 Lebanon 10 Libya 11 Malaysia 12 Maldives 13 Suriname 14 Tunisia 15 Turkey 16 Turkmenistan 34,64 15,47 17,87 9,76 43,09 3,29 74,22 50,60 64,27 9,32 107,59 93,73 22,09 58,75 34,21 N/A 55,33 48,90 11,73 16,25 32,10 15,51 93,70 32,09 205,99 39,06 122,09 65,36 35,15 48,23 47,79 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 16,48 N/A 140,85 35,82 32,02 N/A 107,06 N/A N/A 17,01 25,91 N/A Bank accounts per 1,000 adults N/A N/A N/A N/A 4,76 N/A 86,97 2,98 2,48 N/A 38,07 N/A N/A 3,00 35,82 N/A N/A 355,17 295,70 114,40 N/A N/A N/A 886,49 878,96 N/A N/A N/A N/A 697,48 N/A N/A Bank branches per 100,000 adults 22,07 5,27 9,52 4,34 28,06 N/A 19,12 3,38 29,94 10,84 10,44 16,83 10,55 15,04 17,10 N/A Financial Efficiency Adults Adults 5-bank asset Net Lending- Nonwith an saving at concentration interest deposit interest account at a fin. inst. margin (%) spread income to a formal in the past (%) total fin. inst. to year to income total total (%) adults (%) adults (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Source: The World Bank Database 35 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 83,77 89,75 55,88 N/A N/A N/A 98,21 73,97 66,75 100,00 67,10 N/A N/A 62,46 70,97 N/A 4,33 2,40 6,64 5,59 N/A 3,62 3,47 1,97 2,57 2,10 2,79 6,05 4,83 3,25 5,96 0,59 5,89 6,25 7,83 N/A N/A N/A 4,30 N/A 2,25 3,50 3,00 6,50 5,28 N/A N/A N/A 24,00 42,66 30,57 55,43 N/A 65,78 28,05 24,35 31,83 38,30 29,00 33,80 26,13 32,56 26,86 49,62 Financial Stability Stock Bank Zmarket score turnover ratio (value traded/cap italization) (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A 31,27 N/A 40,67 9,77 9,39 N/A 33,70 N/A N/A 16,98 152,94 N/A 24,80 19,11 10,86 14,36 N/A 19,56 47,87 -4,73 36,17 70,51 23,58 N/A 14,35 25,50 6,12 5,71 Regulatory Bank non- Volatility capital to performing of stock riskloans to price weighted gross index assets (%) loans (%) 16,20 N/A N/A 24,00 N/A N/A 19,60 N/A 13,70 N/A 18,20 N/A N/A N/A 20,60 N/A 10,50 N/A N/A 7,20 N/A N/A 6,70 21,20 6,00 N/A 3,60 N/A N/A N/A 5,00 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 30,39 55,98 23,76 N/A 23,81 N/A N/A 16,58 55,68 N/A Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Table 6: Selected Financial Data on HIG-OIC Member States (2009) Categories Financial Depth Financial Access Private Bank Stock market Stock credit by deposits capitalization market deposit to GDP (%) to GDP (%) total value High income group money banks and traded to US$ 12,616 or more other GDP (%) financial institutions to GDP (%) 1 Bahrain 2 Brunei Darussalam 3 Kuwait 4 Oman 5 Qatar 6 Saudi Arabia 7 United Arab Emirates 133,37 45,37 85,48 45,12 48,60 70,23 78,32 88,36 68,67 73,99 37,82 53,23 27,37 67,19 Bank accounts per 1,000 adults 98,40 9,89 N/A N/A N/A N/A 92,09 86,91 N/A 34,05 15,05 N/A 82,15 36,15 598,54 74,82 114,99 721,62 38,24 38,82 N/A Bank branches per 100,000 adults N/A 23,28 17,50 22,74 18,12 8,30 14,07 Financial Efficiency Adults Adults 5-bank asset Net Lending- Nonwith an saving at concentration interest deposit interest account at a fin. inst. margin (%) spread income to a formal in the past (%) total fin. inst. to year to income total total (%) adults (%) adults (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Source: The World Bank Database 36 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 93,90 N/A N/A 100,00 94,91 77,65 80,05 2,35 5,92 2,83 3,60 2,66 3,07 2,68 6,36 4,80 3,33 3,30 2,81 N/A N/A 30,74 37,95 32,59 27,74 36,01 28,71 33,09 Financial Stability Stock Bank Zmarket score turnover ratio (value traded/cap italization) (%) 4,51 N/A 71,70 36,55 31,82 119,57 63,57 18,46 6,15 15,90 14,51 25,93 13,87 21,36 Regulatory Bank non- Volatility capital to performing of stock riskloans to price weighted gross index assets (%) loans (%) N/A N/A 16,70 15,50 N/A 16,50 19,90 N/A N/A 11,50 2,70 N/A 3,30 4,30 13,60 N/A 19,24 37,09 41,51 38,42 41,84 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Table 7: Selected Financial Data on LIG-OIC Member States (2010) Categories Low Income Group US$ 1035 or less 1 Afghanistan 2 Bangladesh 3 Benin 4 Burkina Faso 5 Chad 6 Comoros 7 The Gambia 8 Guinea 9 Guinea-Bissau 10 Kyrgyz Republic 11 Mali 12 Mozambique 13 Niger 14 Sierra Leone 15 Tajikistan 16 Togo 17 Uganda Financial Depth Financial Access Private Bank Stock market credit by deposits capitalization deposit to GDP (%) to GDP (%) money banks and other financial institutions to GDP (%) 8,96 41,23 22,54 16,59 4,59 17,53 13,37 4,30 5,70 N/A 17,14 24,23 11,77 9,22 N/A 20,59 12,01 15,08 46,64 27,16 20,94 5,58 23,91 35,65 17,02 11,10 N/A 19,63 34,00 11,11 19,23 N/A 31,35 16,67 N/A 11,08 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1,50 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 15,28 Stock market total value traded to GDP (%) Bank accounts per 1,000 adults N/A 14,47 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0,79 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0,06 N/A 328,35 N/A N/A 18,95 74,25 N/A N/A N/A 100,91 N/A N/A N/A 183,52 413,68 N/A 186,15 Bank branches per 100,000 adults N/A 7,53 N/A N/A 0,64 1,42 8,88 1,30 0,00 6,11 N/A 3,30 N/A 2,81 6,16 N/A 2,41 Financial Efficiency Adults Adults 5-bank asset Net Lending- Nonwith an saving at concentration interest deposit interest account at a fin. inst. margin (%) spread income to a formal in the past (%) total fin. inst. to year to income total total (%) adults (%) adults (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Source: The World Bank Database 37 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 90,02 41,13 N/A 93,48 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 100,00 95,29 N/A 96,71 100,00 N/A 72,63 5,36 4,49 3,79 3,95 N/A N/A 8,30 3,29 5,05 9,83 3,88 7,72 4,92 11,17 7,42 3,72 8,57 N/A 5,86 N/A N/A N/A 5,25 12,38 N/A N/A 27,41 N/A 6,58 N/A 12,30 15,54 N/A 12,49 37,18 44,59 42,50 53,71 N/A N/A 53,58 65,89 53,14 24,47 50,32 39,76 41,89 45,12 50,57 53,38 35,66 Financial Stability Stock Bank Zmarket score turnover ratio (value traded/cap italization) (%) N/A 132,14 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 12,53 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0,38 9,72 9,64 17,44 7,47 N/A N/A 5,19 3,11 N/A 26,93 16,78 2,24 18,80 4,54 9,59 4,58 17,01 Regulatory Bank non- Volatility capital to performing of stock riskloans to price weighted gross index assets (%) loans (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 31,00 N/A 14,40 N/A 30,70 26,30 N/A 20,20 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 15,80 N/A 1,90 N/A 15,60 17,20 N/A 2,10 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Table 8: Selected Financial Data on LMIG-OIC Member States (2010) Categories Financial Depth Financial Access Private Bank Stock market Stock credit by deposits capitalization market deposit to GDP (%) to GDP (%) total Lower middle income money value group US$ 1,036 to banks and traded to other GDP (%) US$ 4,085 financial institutions to GDP (%) 1 Cameroon 2 Côte d'Ivoire 3 Djibouti 4 Egypt 5 Guyana 6 Indonesia 7 Mauritania 8 Morocco 9 Nigeria 10 Pakistan 11 Senegal 12 Sudan 13 Syria 14 Uzbekistan 15 Yemen 11,11 17,17 N/A 32,32 34,87 26,28 24,58 72,20 31,29 21,03 24,54 10,93 20,43 N/A 5,95 17,80 20,33 N/A 65,37 52,51 31,86 20,82 85,04 32,95 29,40 28,96 14,53 50,78 N/A 19,99 N/A 28,07 N/A 39,68 13,84 39,46 N/A N/A 19,55 19,81 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Bank accounts per 1,000 adults N/A 0,56 N/A 20,82 N/A 18,46 N/A N/A 2,33 10,25 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 462,79 232,27 109,64 N/A 233,27 942,33 84,40 Bank branches per 100,000 adults 1,55 N/A N/A 4,63 6,78 7,98 N/A 20,89 6,43 8,35 4,38 2,23 4,00 46,76 1,86 Financial Efficiency Adults Adults 5-bank asset Net Lending- Nonwith an saving at concentration interest deposit interest account at a fin. inst. margin (%) spread income to a formal in the past (%) total fin. inst. to year to income total total (%) adults (%) adults (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Source: The World Bank Database 38 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 100,00 100,00 N/A 68,92 N/A 60,07 92,77 93,56 79,22 57,17 87,07 82,55 83,94 89,73 N/A 3,92 3,66 2,86 2,43 5,85 6,64 4,25 3,27 4,92 5,17 5,26 3,99 2,32 3,25 3,40 N/A N/A 9,35 4,78 12,27 6,24 N/A N/A 11,06 5,90 N/A N/A 3,69 N/A 5,17 35,85 52,63 40,07 45,59 29,55 23,34 58,43 24,61 47,29 22,32 28,16 53,48 32,63 62,33 26,96 Financial Stability Stock Bank Zmarket score turnover ratio (value traded/cap italization) (%) N/A 2,05 N/A 42,72 N/A 46,36 N/A 16,49 11,81 36,96 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 14,49 20,27 7,44 40,31 19,68 1,77 29,61 43,94 0,70 13,64 41,50 23,30 8,54 6,38 26,64 Regulatory Bank non- Volatility capital to performing of stock riskloans to price weighted gross index assets (%) loans (%) N/A N/A N/A 16,30 N/A 17,20 N/A 12,30 7,00 14,00 18,20 N/A N/A 23,40 N/A N/A N/A N/A 13,60 N/A 2,60 N/A 4,40 20,10 14,70 20,20 N/A N/A 1,00 N/A N/A N/A N/A 31,24 N/A 33,20 N/A N/A 29,00 28,12 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Table 9: Selected Financial Data on UMIG-OIC Member States (2010) Categories Financial Depth Financial Access Private Bank Stock market Stock credit by deposits capitalization market Upper middle income deposit to GDP (%) to GDP (%) total money value US$ 4,086 to banks and traded to US$12,615 other GDP (%) financial institutions to GDP (%) 1 Albania 2 Algeria 3 Azerbaijan 4 Gabon 5 Iran 6 Iraq 7 Jordan 8 Kazakhstan 9 Lebanon 10 Libya 11 Malaysia 12 Maldives 13 Suriname 14 Tunisia 15 Turkey 16 Turkmenistan 35,34 14,60 16,67 8,09 34,80 7,13 67,47 41,05 69,16 N/A 105,06 86,01 22,92 62,83 38,19 N/A 57,82 42,44 10,87 15,77 22,76 32,36 91,20 30,31 212,96 N/A 119,42 71,47 37,50 50,45 48,60 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 118,36 40,28 33,27 N/A 138,86 N/A N/A 21,73 37,18 N/A Bank accounts per 1,000 adults N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 43,79 2,17 3,81 N/A 34,21 N/A N/A 3,25 46,20 N/A N/A 351,45 352,00 122,48 N/A N/A N/A 859,24 909,66 N/A N/A N/A N/A 713,10 882,04 N/A Bank branches per 100,000 adults Financial Efficiency Adults Adults 5-bank asset Net Lending- Nonwith an saving at concentration interest deposit interest account at a fin. inst. margin (%) spread income to a formal in the past (%) total fin. inst. to year to income total total (%) adults (%) adults (%) 21,99 5,08 9,62 4,94 25,86 N/A 20,09 3,28 30,38 N/A 10,26 16,38 11,20 16,55 17,64 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 82,52 88,99 60,58 N/A N/A 99,99 97,91 70,33 68,20 N/A 66,34 N/A N/A 61,68 71,07 N/A 4,45 2,27 6,19 0,27 N/A 8,44 3,22 1,02 2,01 0,85 2,99 6,13 5,34 3,05 4,67 0,93 6,41 6,25 9,06 N/A 0,06 N/A 5,50 0,00 2,14 3,50 2,52 6,33 5,42 N/A N/A N/A Financial Stability Stock Bank Zmarket score turnover ratio (value traded/cap italization) (%) 14,78 39,15 35,38 66,27 N/A 51,79 33,19 95,61 35,94 41,69 29,04 28,27 22,92 32,93 31,76 39,95 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 30,20 3,83 15,17 N/A 26,32 N/A N/A 17,68 155,08 N/A 25,43 21,03 9,28 8,83 N/A 19,66 46,35 2,02 38,17 N/A 25,76 0,00 15,43 22,78 6,22 4,30 Regulatory Bank non- Volatility capital to performing of stock riskloans to price weighted gross index assets (%) loans (%) 15,40 N/A N/A 22,60 N/A N/A 20,30 17,90 13,40 N/A 17,50 N/A N/A N/A 19,00 N/A 14,00 N/A N/A 9,90 N/A N/A 8,20 23,80 4,30 N/A 3,40 N/A N/A N/A 3,50 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 19,16 39,63 16,34 N/A 16,58 N/A N/A 12,35 37,53 N/A Source: The World Bank Database Table 10: Selected Financial Data on HIG-OIC Member States (2010) Categories Financial Depth Financial Access Private Bank Stock market Stock credit by deposits capitalization market deposit to GDP (%) to GDP (%) total value High income group money banks and traded to US$ 12,616 or more other GDP (%) financial institutions to GDP (%) 1 Bahrain 2 Brunei Darussalam 3 Kuwait 4 Oman 5 Qatar 6 Saudi Arabia 7 United Arab Emirates 121,57 40,96 72,85 39,92 41,73 61,79 72,14 86,33 67,92 68,28 33,35 50,37 28,53 66,33 81,67 N/A 86,15 32,36 82,84 74,64 35,94 Bank accounts per 1,000 adults 2,51 N/A N/A N/A 45,17 N/A 8,03 N/A 17,18 598,69 60,44 711,90 15,69 N/A Bank branches per 100,000 adults N/A 22,75 18,00 22,74 18,20 8,43 13,90 Financial Efficiency Adults Adults 5-bank asset Net Lending- Nonwith an saving at concentration interest deposit interest account at a fin. inst. margin (%) spread income to a formal in the past (%) total fin. inst. to year to income total total (%) adults (%) adults (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Source: The World Bank Database 39 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 93,87 N/A N/A 100,00 93,59 77,81 79,47 2,07 6,22 3,01 3,69 3,20 2,89 3,04 6,02 5,03 2,58 3,47 4,37 N/A N/A 26,67 39,48 30,64 24,49 29,38 31,07 30,47 Financial Stability Stock Bank Zmarket score turnover ratio (value traded/cap italization) (%) 1,53 N/A 39,03 18,28 17,36 60,39 25,65 19,12 7,02 19,02 14,40 26,25 14,64 22,14 Regulatory Bank non- Volatility capital to performing of stock riskloans to price weighted gross index assets (%) loans (%) N/A N/A 18,90 15,80 N/A 17,10 20,70 N/A N/A 8,90 2,90 N/A 3,00 5,60 11,31 N/A 15,36 20,39 26,93 23,46 37,07 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Table 11: Selected Financial Data on LIG-OIC Member States (2011) Categories Low Income Group US$ 1035 or less 1 Afghanistan 2 Bangladesh 3 Benin 4 Burkina Faso 5 Chad 6 Comoros 7 The Gambia 8 Guinea 9 Guinea-Bissau 10 Kyrgyz Republic 11 Mali 12 Mozambique 13 Niger 14 Sierra Leone 15 Tajikistan 16 Togo 17 Uganda Financial Depth Financial Access Private Bank Stock market credit by deposits capitalization deposit to GDP (%) to GDP (%) money banks and other financial institutions to GDP (%) 6,76 44,61 23,85 18,78 5,34 17,50 13,42 6,68 9,30 N/A 19,27 23,23 13,04 9,27 N/A 26,48 13,75 15,75 49,49 28,37 24,63 6,57 24,16 36,14 21,17 17,64 N/A 20,84 32,60 11,75 19,57 N/A 35,24 17,82 N/A 17,27 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2,09 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 26,22 Stock market total value traded to GDP (%) Bank accounts per 1,000 adults N/A 14,52 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0,11 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 377,87 N/A N/A 21,26 N/A N/A N/A N/A 155,16 N/A N/A N/A 153,54 474,87 N/A N/A Bank branches per 100,000 adults N/A 7,85 N/A N/A 0,72 N/A 8,88 1,46 N/A 7,27 N/A 3,63 N/A 2,96 6,67 N/A 2,43 Financial Efficiency Adults Adults 5-bank asset Net Lending- Nonwith an saving at concentration interest deposit interest account at a fin. inst. margin (%) spread income to a formal in the past (%) total fin. inst. to year to income total total (%) adults (%) adults (%) 9,01 39,55 10,46 13,35 8,96 21,69 N/A 3,69 N/A 3,76 8,21 39,90 1,52 15,34 2,53 10,19 20,46 Source: The World Bank Database 40 2,82 16,64 7,02 7,91 6,84 10,77 N/A 2,04 N/A 0,89 4,48 17,46 1,16 14,49 0,29 3,63 16,33 92,40 40,91 N/A 100,00 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 93,46 N/A N/A N/A N/A 73,57 4,74 4,07 4,35 4,09 N/A N/A 5,86 4,49 8,38 6,52 2,13 9,83 4,13 11,36 2,99 3,62 10,06 N/A 3,24 N/A N/A N/A 5,25 16,25 N/A N/A 33,81 N/A 6,12 N/A 11,25 16,60 N/A 8,82 31,07 40,13 37,12 72,76 N/A N/A 52,40 46,73 47,97 30,25 58,74 33,52 50,49 39,01 62,67 58,97 33,11 Financial Stability Stock Bank Zmarket score turnover ratio (value traded/cap italization) (%) N/A 93,96 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2,65 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3,59 9,67 17,34 8,87 N/A N/A 5,11 3,91 N/A 30,39 12,55 2,67 20,67 3,65 6,70 4,65 19,55 Regulatory Bank non- Volatility capital to performing of stock riskloans to price weighted gross index assets (%) loans (%) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 30,30 N/A 17,10 N/A 27,00 25,30 N/A 20,30 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 10,20 N/A 2,60 N/A 15,10 14,90 N/A 2,20 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Table 12: Selected Financial Data on LMIG-OIC Member States (2011) Categories Financial Depth Financial Access Private Bank Stock market Stock credit by deposits capitalization market deposit to GDP (%) to GDP (%) total Lower middle income money value group US$ 1,036 to banks and traded to other GDP (%) US$ 4,085 financial institutions to GDP (%) 1 Cameroon 2 Côte d'Ivoire 3 Djibouti 4 Egypt 5 Guyana 6 Indonesia 7 Mauritania 8 Morocco 9 Nigeria 10 Pakistan 11 Senegal 12 Sudan 13 Syria 14 Uzbekistan 15 Yemen 12,20 19,29 N/A 30,37 35,46 28,25 24,17 68,72 22,91 18,05 27,03 N/A N/A N/A 5,50 18,55 25,99 N/A 62,26 52,61 31,95 21,40 87,49 29,68 27,50 30,77 N/A N/A N/A 19,61 N/A 28,85 N/A 27,76 N/A 45,06 N/A N/A 17,30 16,85 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Bank accounts per 1,000 adults N/A 0,55 N/A 12,51 N/A 16,16 N/A N/A 1,81 5,49 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 506,70 256,63 152,17 N/A N/A 959,20 90,31 Bank branches per 100,000 adults 1,66 N/A N/A N/A 7,58 8,52 N/A 22,31 6,44 8,74 4,72 2,37 N/A 47,73 1,84 Financial Efficiency Adults Adults 5-bank asset Net Lending- Nonwith an saving at concentration interest deposit interest account at a fin. inst. margin (%) spread income to a formal in the past (%) total fin. inst. to year to income total total (%) adults (%) adults (%) 14,81 N/A 12,27 9,72 N/A 19,58 17,46 39,07 29,67 10,31 5,82 6,90 23,25 22,50 3,66 Source: The World Bank Database 41 9,94 N/A 3,35 0,69 N/A 15,29 6,41 12,24 23,59 1,44 3,72 3,41 5,06 0,82 1,07 N/A 100,00 N/A 75,11 N/A 59,55 N/A N/A 66,67 56,89 100,00 100,00 100,00 90,49 N/A 2,58 4,03 2,86 2,37 5,94 6,32 2,28 1,89 7,62 5,42 3,63 4,09 2,53 3,74 4,20 N/A N/A 9,10 4,29 12,51 5,47 N/A N/A 10,32 6,19 N/A N/A N/A N/A 5,00 39,50 51,95 47,98 27,91 26,20 23,23 58,79 38,70 34,64 21,21 52,01 49,07 43,69 60,25 30,65 Financial Stability Stock Bank Zmarket score turnover ratio (value traded/cap italization) (%) N/A 1,78 N/A 34,51 N/A 36,59 N/A 9,54 9,84 28,62 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 13,61 21,99 10,27 38,53 19,36 1,88 35,82 38,25 3,77 13,90 38,42 14,95 8,97 5,63 30,30 Regulatory Bank non- Volatility capital to performing of stock riskloans to price weighted gross index assets (%) loans (%) N/A N/A N/A 16,40 N/A 16,10 N/A N/A 9,90 14,60 N/A N/A N/A 24,20 N/A N/A N/A N/A 11,00 N/A 2,20 N/A 4,90 11,60 16,20 N/A N/A N/A 0,70 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 Table 13: Selected Financial Data on UMIG-OIC Member States (2011) Categories Financial Depth Financial Access Private Bank Stock market Stock credit by deposits capitalization market Upper middle income deposit to GDP (%) to GDP (%) total money value US$ 4,086 to banks and traded to US$12,615 other GDP (%) financial institutions to GDP (%) 1 Albania 2 Algeria 3 Azerbaijan 4 Gabon 5 Iran 6 Iraq 7 Jordan 8 Kazakhstan 9 Lebanon 10 Libya 11 Malaysia 12 Maldives 13 Suriname 14 Tunisia 15 Turkey 16 Turkmenistan 37,23 14,20 16,50 7,86 N/A N/A 69,71 34,87 70,34 N/A 106,40 81,01 N/A 71,17 43,17 N/A 63,42 42,44 11,74 16,41 N/A N/A 95,59 27,47 199,71 N/A 120,93 79,30 N/A 53,49 46,73 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 100,13 28,49 26,12 N/A 144,09 N/A N/A 22,21 30,99 N/A Bank accounts per 1,000 adults N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 23,36 0,93 2,75 N/A 38,90 N/A N/A 3,09 50,92 N/A N/A 372,90 398,21 131,12 N/A N/A N/A N/A 948,97 N/A N/A N/A N/A 757,37 922,00 N/A Bank branches per 100,000 adults Financial Efficiency Adults Adults 5-bank asset Net Lending- Nonwith an saving at concentration interest deposit interest account at a fin. inst. margin (%) spread income to a formal in the past (%) total fin. inst. to year to income total total (%) adults (%) adults (%) 22,20 5,28 9,91 5,77 29,53 N/A 21,07 3,38 31,52 N/A 10,49 17,25 11,20 17,22 18,33 N/A 28,27 33,29 14,90 18,95 73,68 10,55 25,47 42,11 37,03 N/A 66,17 N/A N/A 32,19 57,60 0,40 8,56 4,33 1,61 8,66 19,71 5,44 8,26 6,74 17,11 N/A 35,41 N/A N/A 4,96 4,17 0,12 94,77 91,25 80,63 N/A N/A 99,99 97,89 72,44 77,61 N/A 63,69 N/A N/A 68,18 70,10 N/A 4,27 2,24 5,02 7,98 N/A 4,19 3,15 2,94 2,02 N/A 2,60 7,06 4,10 2,68 3,65 0,44 6,57 6,25 8,11 N/A N/A N/A 5,32 N/A 1,64 3,50 2,00 6,02 5,37 N/A N/A N/A Financial Stability Stock Bank Zmarket score turnover ratio (value traded/cap italization) (%) 14,09 41,31 31,33 65,15 N/A 69,97 33,21 29,52 37,15 N/A 31,04 40,07 23,11 35,38 33,73 56,12 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 13,93 2,03 4,88 N/A 31,07 N/A N/A 10,96 172,24 N/A 26,60 21,86 9,68 7,92 N/A 24,77 46,26 0,14 34,35 N/A 25,09 N/A 14,78 23,54 5,31 2,80 Regulatory Bank non- Volatility capital to performing of stock riskloans to price weighted gross index assets (%) loans (%) 15,60 N/A N/A 16,40 N/A N/A 18,20 17,40 12,10 N/A 17,70 N/A N/A N/A 16,50 N/A 18,80 N/A N/A 5,50 N/A N/A 8,50 30,80 3,80 N/A 2,70 N/A N/A N/A 2,70 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Source: The World Bank Database Table 14: Selected Financial Data on HIG-OIC Member States (2011) Categories Financial Depth Financial Access Private Bank Stock market Stock credit by deposits capitalization market deposit to GDP (%) to GDP (%) total value High income group money banks and traded to US$ 12,616 or more other GDP (%) financial institutions to GDP (%) 1 Bahrain 2 Brunei Darussalam 3 Kuwait 4 Oman 5 Qatar 6 Saudi Arabia 7 United Arab Emirates N/A 32,84 54,84 36,79 35,46 52,44 60,78 N/A 60,40 52,67 30,65 44,62 27,01 57,80 N/A N/A 63,64 27,90 72,23 60,05 27,43 Bank accounts per 1,000 adults N/A N/A N/A N/A 18,39 N/A 4,19 N/A 12,01 673,30 42,82 749,39 5,98 N/A Bank branches per 100,000 adults N/A 23,09 19,40 23,63 17,81 8,73 14,47 Financial Efficiency Adults Adults 5-bank asset Net Lending- Nonwith an saving at concentration interest deposit interest account at a fin. inst. margin (%) spread income to a formal in the past (%) total fin. inst. to year to income total total (%) adults (%) adults (%) 64,51 N/A 86,77 73,60 65,88 46,42 59,73 Source: The World Bank Database 42 16,29 N/A 40,35 22,62 25,38 17,24 19,16 95,58 N/A 100,00 100,00 96,38 78,20 81,13 2,13 5,48 3,07 3,49 3,26 2,80 3,17 5,77 5,10 3,01 3,39 3,74 N/A N/A 33,54 40,09 28,28 27,37 26,44 31,69 27,48 Financial Stability Stock Bank Zmarket score turnover ratio (value traded/cap italization) (%) N/A N/A 19,04 12,86 18,51 84,58 16,02 18,26 5,45 19,24 12,78 28,51 15,09 22,52 Regulatory Bank non- Volatility capital to performing of stock riskloans to price weighted gross index assets (%) loans (%) N/A N/A N/A 14,30 N/A 17,30 21,20 N/A N/A N/A 2,70 N/A N/A 6,20 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 DEFINITIONS OF SELECTED FINANCIAL BENCHMARKING DATA 29 Financial Depth Private Credit by Deposit Money Banks and Other Financial Institutions to GDP (%) Private credit by deposit money banks and other financial institutions to GDP. Bank Deposits to GDP (%) The total value of demand, time and saving deposits at domestic deposit money banks as a share of GDP. Deposit money banks comprise commercial banks and other financial institutions that accept transferable deposits, such as demand deposits. Stock Market Capitalization to GDP (%) Total value of all listed shares in a stock market as a percentage of GDP. Stock Market Total Value Traded to GDP (%) Total value of all traded shares in a stock market exchange as a percentage of GDP. Financial Access Bank Accounts per 1,000 Adults Number of depositors with commercial banks per 1,000 adults. The data is from commercial banksbank survey. Bank Branches per 100,000 Adults Number of commercial bank branches per 100,000 adults. The data is from commercial banks-bank survey. Adults with an Account at a Formal Financial Institution to Total Adults (%) The-percentage of adults with an account (self or together with someone else) at a bank, credit union, another financial institution (e.g., cooperative, microfinance institution), or the post office (if applicable) including adults who reported having a debit card to total adults. Adults Saving at a Financial Institution in the Past Year to Total Adults (%) The percentage of adults who report saving or setting aside any money using an account at a formal financial institution such as a bank, credit union, microfinance institution, or cooperative in the past 12 months. 29 World Bank Global Financial Development Database 43 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 5-Bank Asset Concentration Financial Efficiency Net Interest Margin (%) The assets of the five largest banks as a share of total commercial banking assets. Total assets include total earning assets, cash and due from banks, foreclosed real estate, fixed assets, goodwill, other intangibles, current tax assets, deferred tax, discontinued operations and other assets. The accounting value of bank's net interest revenue as a share of its average interest-bearing (total earning) assets. Lending-Deposit Spread (%) The difference between lending rate and deposit rate. Lending rate is the rate charged by banks on loans to the private sector and deposit interest rate is the rate offered by commercial banks on threemonth deposits. Non-Interest Income to Total Income The bank’s income that has been generated by noninterest related activities as a percentage of total income (net-interest income plus non-interest income). Non-interest related income includes net gains on trading and derivatives, net gains on other securities, net fees and commissions and other operating income. Stock Market Turnover Ratio (value traded/capitalization) (%) The total value of shares traded during the period divided by the average market capitalization for the period. Financial Stability Bank Z-Score Capital Adequacy Ratio It captures the probability of default of a country's banking system. Z-score compares the buffer of a country's banking system (capitalization and returns) with the volatility of those returns. The capital adequacy of deposit takers. It is a ratio of total regulatory capital to its assets held, weighted according to risk of those assets. Bank Non-Performing Loans to Gross Loans (%) Ratio of defaulting loans (payments of interest and principal past due by 90 days or more) to total gross loans (total value of loan portfolio). The loan amount recorded as nonperforming includes the gross value of the loan as recorded on the balance 44 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 sheet, not just the amount that is overdue. Volatility of Stock Price Index Volatility of stock price index is the 360-day standard deviation of the return on the national stock market index. 45 Financial Outlook of the OIC Member Countries 2014 REFERENCES European Central Bank, Islamic Finance in Europe, June 2013 Islamic Development Bank, Annual Report 2012, March 2013 The World Bank, Global Financial Development Report, 2013 The World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2013 The World Bank, Finance for All? Policies and Pitfalls in Expanding Access, Demirgüç-Kunt, Beck, and Honohan, 2008 The World Bank Financial Development Database, 2013 http://databank.worldbank.org/data/views/variableselection/selectvariables.aspx?source=glob al-financial-development Islamic Research & training Institute (IRTI), Role of Microfinance in Poverty Alleviation, Mohammed Obaidullah, 2008 UN, World Economic Situation and Prospects, 2012 The World Bank, Benchmarking Financial Systems around the World, 2012 IMF, World Economic Outlook, 2013 IMF, Global Financial Stability Report, 2013 IMF, Financial Systems Soundness Indicators, 2013 SESRIC 46
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