Turkey as an Energy Corridor between the East

Turkey as an Energy Corridor between the East

Slide 1
Dr. Cenk PALA
Head of Foreign Relations & Strategies Dept.
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TURKEY AS AN ENERGY CORRIDOR
BETWEEN THE EAST AND THE WEST
~ Gas To Europe ~
Ver 09.03
www.botas.gov.tr
Slide 2
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UKRAINE
KAZAKH S TAN
MOLDOVA
ROMANIA
RU S SIAN FEDE RATION
S
CA
Novorossiysk
Dzugba
.(UH÷OLVL
Karabük
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$GÕ\DPDQ
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A
østanbul
Edirne
SE
GEORGIA
.ÕUNODUHOL
GRE ECE
N
P IA
BLACK S EA
BULGARIA
Aktau
Batman Silopi
Gaziantep
Hatay
SY RIA
MEDI T E R RANEAN
Natural Gas Pipelines
Existing Lines
Planned, Tendered and Under Construc.
Ver 09.03
IRAN
IRAQ
Crude Oil Pipelines
Existing Lines
Planned, Under Construction
www.botas.gov.tr
Slide 3
1$785$/*$63,3(/,1(6<67(0 ,1785.(<
30”
Alia÷a
24”
Kütahya
24”
CS-5
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24”
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48”
K Õ r Õkkale
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40” Konya
E
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16”
Seydiúehir
Aksaray
Kayseri
40’’
Kahramanmaraú
Ver 09.03
DiyarbakÕr
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40’’
Ceyhan
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M
Batman
Iran
ùÕrnak
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ùanlÕurfa
ø skenderun
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Existing Lines
S Y RIA
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O
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Planned Gas Volumes
A÷rÕ Do÷ubayazÕt
Van
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Contracted Gas Volumes
I÷dÕr
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ElazÕ÷
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Mersin
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M
BC
Existing Imports (Plateau Period)
Erzurum
10
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Erzincan
48”
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Karaman
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40”
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16”
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øzmir
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M
BC
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N
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IA
24”
24”
24”
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Ordu
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M
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A
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ø stanbul
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RE
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M
BC
6
1
K Õ rklareli
Edirne
GEORGIA
Russian Fed (Blue Stream)
CS-1
Kofçaz
LNG (Algeria + Nigeria)
Azerbaijan
B LACK S EA
BU
LG
AR
CM
IA
B
14
Russian Fed (West 6 BCM+ Turusgaz 8 BCM)
Iraq
Under Construction
Tendered Lines
CS
Planned Lines
Marmara Ereglisi LNG Terminal
Planned Underground Storages
www.botas.gov.tr
Slide 4
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Existing System
4700 kms
Under Construction
2400 kms
Planned
1000 kms
Domestic Transmission and Distribution System of Turkey:
Ver 09.03
6WDUW
www.botas.gov.tr
Slide 5
0$-25%27$û*$6$&7,9,7,(6,17+(&20,1*<($56
30”
Alia÷a
24”
Kütahya
24”
CS-5
E skiúehir
24”
40”
Ankara
U úak
48”
K Õ r Õkkale
40”
40” Konya
E
Mu÷la
Burdur
K Õ rúehir
40”
16”
Seydiúehir
Aksaray
Kayseri
40’’
Kahramanmaraú
Ver 09.03
DiyarbakÕr
AdÕyaman
Araban
40’’
Ceyhan
Dörtyol
Gaziantep
BC
M
Batman
Iran
ùÕrnak
Silopi
Bozova
40”
Mardin
ùanlÕurfa
ø skenderun
Hatay
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Existing Lines
S Y RIA
EBBA
ANNO
N
O
N
Egypt
LLE
Planned Gas Volumes
A÷rÕ Do÷ubayazÕt
Van
Malatya
Adana
4B
CM
Contracted Gas Volumes
I÷dÕr
48”
ElazÕ÷
Ni÷de
Mersin
Horasan
M
BC
Existing Imports (Plateau Period)
Erzurum
10
MEDIT E R RANEAN
Erzincan
48”
Ere÷li
Karaman
Antalya
6.
6
Bayburt
Sivas
Nevúehir
Turgutlu
Isparta
48”
Yozgat
40”
Denizli
Gümüúhane
48”
Afyon
AydÕn 40”
Giresun
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16”
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øzmir
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Çorum
M
BC
10
N
BC
M
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36”
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I RA
5 .2
Karacabey Bursa
24”
20”
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Sakarya
Turkmenistan
Artvin
Rize
IA
24”
24”
24”
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Ordu
48”
ÇankÕrÕ
EN
CS-4
Çan
Samsun
16”
18”
Ardahan
RM
CS-3øzmit
16
M
BC
A
M.Ere÷lisi
Zonguldak
BartÕn
Ere÷li
Çaycuma
ø stanbul
G
RE
EC
CS-2
24”
36”
Çanakkale 16”
M
BC
6
1
K Õ rklareli
Edirne
GEORGIA
Russian Fed (Blue Stream)
CS-1
Kofçaz
LNG (Algeria + Nigeria)
Azerbaijan
B LACK S EA
BU
LG
AR
CM
IA
B
14
Russian Fed (West 6 BCM+ Turusgaz 8 BCM)
Iraq
Under Construction
Tendered Lines
CS
Planned Lines
Marmara Ereglisi LNG Terminal
Planned Underground Storages
www.botas.gov.tr
Slide 6
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KAZAKHS TAN
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72
MEDI T E R RANEAN
(85
23(
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EGYP
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Ver 09.03
www.botas.gov.tr
Slide 7
20(678'<
‘Assessment
of Internal and External Gas
Supply Options for the EU, Evaluation of the
Supply Costs of New Natural Gas Supply
Projects to the EU and an Investigation of
Related Financial Requirements and Tools’
Ver 09.03
www.botas.gov.tr
Slide 8
(8523(*DV'HPDQG3URGXFWLRQDQG,PSRUW1HHG
900
European Gas Demand
EU-30
800
EU-30
700
EU-15
777
600
EU-30
Bcm
500
EU-15
642
597
EU-15
400
462
300
1000
386
800
100
600
B cm
200
0
1999
European Import Needs
500
2010
2020
400
200
0
Production
162
224
EU-15
Import
277
162
276
300
224
EU-30
EU-15
1999
42 %
Source: Study by OME -Observatoire Mediterraneen de L’energie
under EU ETAP Programme
Ver 09.03
im
po
rt d
ep
en
de
nc
365
EU-30
2010
e
401
350
196
EU-15
EU-30
2020
67 %
55 %
35 %
427
43 %
55 %
www.botas.gov.tr
0.6
0.4
0.8
0.6
Oman LNG
0.5
0.4
0.8
0.3
0.35
0.8
Qatar LNG
0.3
0.6
Russia Barents Sea-Baltic Sea
0.5
0.6
Trinidad&Tobago LNG
Russia Yamal via Baltic
Venezuela LNG
Nigeria LNG
Libya LNG
UAE LNG
Turkmenistan via Russia/Ukraine
Iran LNG
Russia Yamal via Belarus
www.botas.gov.tr
Egypt LNG
Yemen LNG
*
* new projects
0.4
0.4
0.45
0.5
0.4
1.7
1.3
0.4
1.2
0.4
Libya via pipe to Sicily
Turkmenistan via Caspian Sea
UK
Norway-North Sea Satellites-Pipe
Russia-NadymPurTaz via Belarus
Norway-Norwegian Sea-Pipe
Turkmenistan via Iran
0.45
Russia-NadymPurTaz via Baltic
Algeria via Transmed
Algeria-LNG
Russia-NadymPurTaz via Ukraine
*
*
0.6
0.5
0.5
Russia-Volga Ural via Ukraine
0.3
Iran via Turkey
0.45
Russia-Volga Ural via Blue Stream
*
Egypt via pipe to Turkey
Algeria via GME
Algeria via Sardinia-Corsica
0.45
Azerbaijan via Turkey
Algeria via Medgaz
*
2.3
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.42
2.41
1.93
2.33
2.43
2.23
2.1
1.63
1.95
1
0.2
0.7
2.13
1.97
1.81
1.47
1.17
1.45
1.16
1.18
0.99
0.84
1.08
0.9
0.9
1.04
0.67
0.66
0.28
*
0.5
0.16
Production
*
*
0.2
Transport
*
*
*
0.26
0.2
*
*
*
Source: OME Study for EU *
Ver 09.03
0.64
2
0.78
0.28
Ð
2.5
*
0.5
0.63
1
0.22
0.16
ÐÐ
Ð
Ð0.06
Netback Value 2020 (25/$bbl)= 3.73 $/mmbtu
$/mmbtu
0.2
0.2 0.2 0.2
Transit Fee
3
Ð
1.5
Iraq via Turkey
0
0.45
Slide 9
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3.5
0.69
0.5
Slide 10
6XSSO\&RVWIRU1HZ*DV'HOLYHU\WR(8PPEWX
Yamal-RUSSIA
Nadym-Pur-Taz-RUSSIA
3.31
2.79
1.92
Volga Ural-RUSSIA
KAZAKHS TAN
2.55
RU S S IAN FEDE RA TION
S
CA
GEORGIA
N
P IA
BLACKSEA
2.05
AZE RBAIJAN 2.12
T U RKMENIS TAN
AN
ARMENIA
T U RK E Y
A
SE
Ankara
U ZB E KI S TAN
2.17
S Y RIA
9 Supply
MEDI T E R RANEAN S EA
A FG
HAN
IS T
1.97
IRAN
IRAQ
Cost=Production+
transport+transit fee
(excludes the
royalties of producer
* Costs exclude the royalties of producer countries
countries)
9 Netback price that EU-15 consumers are willing to pay at max is 3.81 (@25 $/bbl) in 2020.
9 A study is being performed to determine the transmission fees within Turkey for both domestic and export purposes
Ver 09.03
Source: OME-Observatoire Mediterraneen de L’energie study under EU ETAP Programme
www.botas.gov.tr
Slide 11
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Slide 12
Ver 09.03
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